September 28, 2023
Top 10 Stock Fortuna Silver Mines Buy Recommendation
How to read the ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Snapshot: Fortuna Silver Mines – Top 10 Stock in Zinc Mining and Production
Fortuna Silver Mines is listed as a top 10 stock on September 28, 2023 in the market index Zinc because of its high performance in at least one of the Obermatt investment strategies. As three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks exhibit excellent performance, it is a solid investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is low, despite a currently slow growth momentum. Based on the Obermatt 360° View of 51 (high 51% performer), Obermatt assesses an overall buy recommendation for Fortuna Silver Mines on September 28, 2023.
Snapshot: Obermatt Ranks
| Country | Canada |
| Industry | Silver |
| Index | Copper, Zinc, Silver, TSX Composite |
| Size class | Medium |
When Obermatt identifies the Top 10 stocks in a market, it’s based on a certain investment strategy. The best performing stocks usually aren’t the ones that everyone is talking about (those are often "over-priced" and have low Value ranks).
For each investment strategy, we provide you with more detailed analysis and our recommendation. You see the ranks of the top 10 stocks ranked by that particular investment strategy (360° View, Sentiment, Value, Growth, Safety and Combined Financial Performance).
360° View: Obermatt 360° View Fortuna Silver Mines Buy
| 360 METRICS | September 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 78 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 25 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 54 |
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| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 52 |
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| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 51 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt 360° View of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and financial characteristics for the stock Fortuna Silver Mines are above average. The 360° View is based on consolidating four consolidated indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Fortuna Silver Mines. The consolidated Value Rank has an attractive rank of 78, which means that the share price of Fortuna Silver Mines is on the lower side compared with typical size in indicators such as revenues, profits, and invested capital. This means the stock price is lower than for 78% of alternative stocks in the same industry. The company is also safely financed with a Safety rank of 54. In addition, professional market sentiment is above average compared with other stock investment alternatives with a Sentiment Rank of 52. But the consolidated Growth Rank has a low rank of 25, which means that the company is below average in terms of growth and momentum when looking at financial metrics such as revenue, profit, and invested capital growth as well as stock returns. 75 of its competitors have better growth. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated 360° View of 51, Fortuna Silver Mines is better positioned than 51% of all alternative stock investment opportunities based on the Obermatt Method. Three out of four consolidated Obermatt Ranks show above-average performance. The stock has as good value (Value Rank of 78), secure financing practices (Safety Rank of 54), and positive market sentiment in the professional investor community (Sentiment Rank of 52). It is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the shares is limited, and disappointments are less likely to occur. The company’s growth expectations are below the industry average (Growth Rank of 25), but that could also be temporary since professional investors remain optimistic despite the low growth numbers. The low price as reflected in the good Value Rank could indicate that the company's future is challenging. The below-par growth performance may be the reason for this. Companies that grow less are typically cheaper than fast-growing competitors. We recommend evaluating whether the future of Fortuna Silver Mines is as difficult as the stock’s low price suggests, despite the positive professional investor sentiment. Since the professional community is optimistic, you might have less to worry about, and the stock may just go through a more challenging phase now, indicating good timing. ...read more
Sentiment Strategy: Professional Market Sentiment for Fortuna Silver Mines positive
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Sentiment Rank of 52 (better than 52% compared with alternatives), overall professional sentiment and engagement for the stock Fortuna Silver Mines is above average. The Sentiment Rank is based on consolidating four sentiment indicators, with half of the metrics below and half above average for Fortuna Silver Mines. Analyst Opinions are at a rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternative investments), which means that currently, stock research analysts tend to warn against investing in the stock of the company. But they are changing their opinions! Analyst Opinions Change has a rank of 50, which means that stock research experts are more positive in their investment recommendations in the company. In other words, they are getting more optimistic of stock investments in Fortuna Silver Mines. More encouragingly, the Professional Investors rank is 79, which means that professional investors hold more stock in this company than in 79% of alternative investment opportunities. Pros tend to favor investing in this company. But Market Pulse is on the lower side with a rank of 36, which means that the current professional news and professional social networks are on the negative side when discussing this company (more negative news than for 64% of competitors). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Sentiment Rank of 52 (more positive than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Fortuna Silver Mines has a reputation among professional investors that is above-average compared with that of its competitors. The sentiment signals are mixed for Fortuna Silver Mines. While analysts and the news channels are negative, there is a change in what analysts think. Above-average institutional investors in this company support them. Sentiment signals remain mixed with analysts and news channels pessimistic, though improving, and professional investors above average. ...read more
Value Strategy: Fortuna Silver Mines Stock Price Value at the top
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 78 (better than 78% compared with alternatives) for 2023, Fortuna Silver Mines shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Fortuna Silver Mines. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 71, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Fortuna Silver Mines's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 85% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Fortuna Silver Mines (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 78, is a buy recommendation based on Fortuna Silver Mines's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. ...read more
Growth Strategy: Fortuna Silver Mines Growth Momentum low
| GROWTH METRICS | September 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 63 |
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| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 56 |
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| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 9 |
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| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 45 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 25 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Fortuna Silver Mines shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Fortuna Silver Mines. Sales Growth has a rank of 63, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 63% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 56 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 9, and Stock Returns with 45 are also below-average. Stock returns for Fortuna Silver Mines have recently been below 55% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Fortuna Silver Mines. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. ...read more
Safety Strategy: Fortuna Silver Mines Debt Financing Safety above-average
| SAFETY METRICS | September 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 60 |
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| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 53 |
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| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 44 |
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| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 54 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), the company Fortuna Silver Mines has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Fortuna Silver Mines is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Fortuna Silver Mines.Leverage is at 60, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 60% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 44, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with alternatives), Fortuna Silver Mines has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. ...read more
Combined financial peformance: Fortuna Silver Mines Below-Average Financial Performance
| COMBINED PERFORMANCE | September 28, 2023 | |||||||
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| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 78 |
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| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 25 |
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| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 44 |
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| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 49 |
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ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Fortuna Silver Mines (Silver, Canada) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Fortuna Silver Mines are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 78 (better than 78% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 54, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Fortuna Silver Mines's financial characteristics. As the company Fortuna Silver Mines's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 78) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 54), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 78% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. ...read more
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