Fact based stock research
Air Lease (NYSE:AL)

US00912X3026

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Air Lease stock research in summary

airleasecorp.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with investment alternatives), Air Lease (Trading & Distribution, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Air Lease are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 63) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 42), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Air Lease's financial characteristics. As the company Air Lease's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 91) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 63), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 42) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	91
Growth Rank	63
Safety Rank	42
Combined Rank	61

Country	USA
Industry	Trading & Distribution
Index	Dividends USA
Size class	Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Air Lease

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	95	95	100	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	30	59	73	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	42	42	42
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	53	23	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	87	86	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Air Lease is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	95	95	100	91
GROWTH
GROWTH	30	59	73	63
SAFETY
SAFETY	1	42	42	42
COMBINED
COMBINED	33	61	61	61

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Air Lease the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Air Lease shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Air Lease. Price-to-Sales is 54 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Air Lease's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 80% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 90. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Air Lease are expected to be higher than for 85% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 85). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation based on Air Lease's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Air Lease based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	65	67	62	54
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	84	85	92	80
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	90	92	88	90
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	82	83	87	85
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	95	95	100	91

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Air Lease; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with alternatives), Air Lease shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Air Lease. Sales Growth has a rank of 80 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 80% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 61. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 30, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 70% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 18, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 61% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	16	86	75	80
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	100	13	98	18
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	75	1	30
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	80	49	45	61
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	30	59	73	63

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Air Lease.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 42 (better than 42% compared with alternatives), the company Air Lease has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Air Lease is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Air Lease. Liquidity is at 41, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 59% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 11, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 89% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 10 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 90% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with alternatives), Air Lease has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Air Lease because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	1	24	21	11
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	8	10	10	10
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	32	54	40	41
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	1	42	42	42

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Air Lease and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	83	81	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	66	48	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	1	9	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	53	23	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Air Lease.
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