Fact based stock research
Ashmore (LSE:ASHM)

GB00B132NW22

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ashmore stock research in summary

ashmoregroup.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with investment alternatives), Ashmore (Asset Management & Custody, United Kingdom) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ashmore are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 13) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Ashmore's financial characteristics. As the company Ashmore's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 13), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	49
Growth Rank	13
Safety Rank	92
Combined Rank	51

Country	United Kingdom
Industry	Asset Management & Custody
Index	FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350
Size class	Small

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ashmore

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	60	51	32	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	8	3	21	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	94	87	92
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	29	37	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	37	38	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ashmore is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	60	51	32	49
GROWTH
GROWTH	8	3	21	13
SAFETY
SAFETY	97	94	87	92
COMBINED
COMBINED	64	48	43	51

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ashmore the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Ashmore shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Ashmore. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 100% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 100), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 63, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 63% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 10 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 90% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Ashmore's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Ashmore with a rank of 25. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 75% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Ashmore's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Ashmore's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Ashmore may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	29	17	5	10
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	87	48	16	25
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	44	47	45	63
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	86	86	94	100
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	60	51	32	49

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ashmore; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 13 (better than 13% compared with alternatives), Ashmore shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Ashmore. While Sales Growth ranks at 57, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 57% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 9, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 91% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 21. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 7 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 93% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 13, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	7	50	30	57
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	100	7	23	9
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	32	44	21
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	6	1	38	7
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	8	3	21	13

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ashmore.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Ashmore has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Ashmore is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Ashmore. Leverage is at a rank of 93, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 91, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 91% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 27, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 73% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Ashmore has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Ashmore. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Ashmore and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	92	91	93	93
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	51	33	25	27
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	81	93	89	91
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	97	94	87	92

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ashmore and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	21	18	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	94	61	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	40	84	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	8	15	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	29	37	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ashmore.
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