Fact based stock research
Avanza Bank Holding (OM:AZA)

SE0012454072

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Avanza Bank Holding stock research in summary

investors.avanza.se

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Avanza Bank Holding (Investment Banking & Brokerage, Sweden) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Avanza Bank Holding are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 40) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 31, is a hold recommendation based on Avanza Bank Holding's financial characteristics. As the company Avanza Bank Holding's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 10) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 40), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	10
Growth Rank	40
Safety Rank	76
Combined Rank	31

Country	Sweden
Industry	Investment Banking & Brokerage
Index
Size class	Medium

2-May-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Avanza Bank Holding

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	6	12	10	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	71	33	40
SAFETY
SAFETY	55	67	74	76
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	93	6	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	79	6	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 2-May-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Dec-2023. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Avanza Bank Holding is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	6	12	10	10
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	71	33	40
SAFETY
SAFETY	55	67	74	76
COMBINED
COMBINED	52	48	19	31

Last update of combined financial performance: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Avanza Bank Holding the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 10 (worse than 90% compared with alternatives), Avanza Bank Holding shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Avanza Bank Holding. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 52% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 5 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 95% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Avanza Bank Holding's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 23 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 77% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 7 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 93% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 10, is a sell recommendation based on Avanza Bank Holding's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Avanza Bank Holding? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Avanza Bank Holding only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	6	3	10	5
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	42	10	23	23
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	6	13	3	7
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	27	48	42	52
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	6	12	10	10

Last update of Value Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Avanza Bank Holding; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 40 (better than 40% compared with alternatives), Avanza Bank Holding shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Avanza Bank Holding. Capital Growth has a rank of 92, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital more than 39% of its competitors. Investors welcomed this, visible in the Stock Returns rank of 57 (above 57% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has only a rank of 15, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 85% of its competitors, and Profit Growth is also low at a rank of 39. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 40, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is an ambiguous picture. Revenue growth and capital growth are strong, but the growth in profit, which seems good, can also be an indication that growth momentum may be negative. The fact that stock returns have been above average doesn't help much, as stock returns are less reliable in showing a company’s future growth potential. Prices may perform well for the simple reason that investors were too pessimistic in the past and are now correcting their opinions and moving the stock price to a more reasonable level. As the growth picture is mixed for Avanza Bank Holding, investors may want to look at value and sentiment indicators for a well-rounded picture of this stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	84	17	34	15
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	75	84	39
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	79	8	92
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	88	63	42	57
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	94	71	33	40

Last update of Growth Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Avanza Bank Holding.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Avanza Bank Holding has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Avanza Bank Holding is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Avanza Bank Holding. Refinancing is at 87, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 98, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 1, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives), Avanza Bank Holding has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Avanza Bank Holding could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Avanza Bank Holding and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	53	3	3	1
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	63	83	85	87
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	58	90	98	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	55	67	74	76

Last update of Safety Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Avanza Bank Holding and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	85	1	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	98	36	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	58	39	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	36	13	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	93	6	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 2-May-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Avanza Bank Holding.
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