Fact based stock research
Barry Callebaut (SWX:BARN)
CH0009002962
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Barry Callebaut stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Barry Callebaut (Packaged Foods & Meats, Switzerland) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barry Callebaut are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 33), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's financial characteristics. As the company Barry Callebaut's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 33), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Switzerland |
| Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| Index | Human Rights, Renewables Users, SDG 1, SDG 12, SDG 13, SDG 15, SDG 8, SPI |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Insight 2022-12-15.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Barry Callebaut
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
23 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
33 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
34 |
|
23 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with investment alternatives), Barry Callebaut (Packaged Foods & Meats, Switzerland) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Barry Callebaut are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 23), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 33), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's financial characteristics. As the company Barry Callebaut's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 23), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 33), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
23 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
33 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 11 |
|
40 |
|
17 |
|
17 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Barry Callebaut. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Barry Callebaut's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 24, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 76% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 54% of alternatives (only 46% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 78% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Barry Callebaut's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Barry Callebaut could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Barry Callebaut looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 36 |
|
31 |
|
40 |
|
67 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 17 |
|
11 |
|
17 |
|
22 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 19 |
|
16 |
|
23 |
|
46 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 23 |
|
23 |
|
24 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 11 |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
35 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 23 (better than 23% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Barry Callebaut. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 96, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 96% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 4, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 96% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 4 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 37 (63% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 23, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 49 |
|
65 |
|
85 |
|
4 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 60 |
|
58 |
|
9 |
|
96 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
71 |
|
90 |
|
4 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 67 |
|
50 |
|
6 |
|
37 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 72 |
|
78 |
|
40 |
|
23 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), the company Barry Callebaut has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Barry Callebaut is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Barry Callebaut and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 87, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 24, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with alternatives), Barry Callebaut has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Barry Callebaut are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Barry Callebaut and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 40 |
|
25 |
|
35 |
|
4 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 49 |
|
100 |
|
58 |
|
87 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 44 |
|
34 |
|
32 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 36 |
|
50 |
|
34 |
|
33 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
58 |
|
56 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
63 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
19 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
69 |
|
59 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
70 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Barry Callebaut from November 14, 2024.
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