Fact based stock research
CTM (ASX:CTD)

AU000000CTD3

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

CTM stock research in summary

travelctm.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), CTM (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of CTM are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 85, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 29). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on CTM's financial characteristics. As the company CTM's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 57) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 29) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 85), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 57% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	57
Growth Rank	29
Safety Rank	85
Combined Rank	73

Country	Australia
Industry	Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines
Index	ASX 200, ASX 300, Wind Energy
Size class	Small

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: CTM

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	9	49	73	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	95	83	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	63	47	83	85
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	81	85	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	85	97	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better CTM is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	9	49	73	57
GROWTH
GROWTH	93	95	83	29
SAFETY
SAFETY	63	47	83	85
COMBINED
COMBINED	21	76	99	73

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of CTM the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), CTM shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for CTM. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 69 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 69% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning CTM's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 74, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 66. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 79% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 21). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation based on CTM's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that CTM has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing CTM shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	4	17	20	21
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	23	37	75	69
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	31	44	57	74
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	64	77	66
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	9	49	73	57

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of CTM; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 29 (better than 29% compared with alternatives), CTM shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for CTM. While Sales Growth ranks at 80, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 80% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 20, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 80% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 47. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 19 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 81% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	95	81	60	80
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	90	96	58	20
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	44	66	47
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	48	85	77	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	93	95	83	29

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of CTM.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company CTM has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of CTM is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for CTM. Leverage is at 84, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 67, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 67% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 76, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives), CTM has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with CTM but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	76	86	86	84
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	71	35	49	67
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	1	18	72	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	63	47	83	85

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of CTM and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	51	49	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	69	95	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	53	79	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	81	85	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for CTM.
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