Fact based stock research
CTT - Correios (ENXTLS:CTT)

PTCTT0AM0001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

CTT - Correios stock research in summary

ctt.pt

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), CTT - Correios (Air Freight & Logistics, Portugal) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of CTT - Correios are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 21, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on CTT - Correios's financial characteristics. As the company CTT - Correios shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (73% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 83% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 83). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 21 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for CTT - Correios, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	27
Growth Rank	83
Safety Rank	21
Combined Rank	37

Country	Portugal
Industry	Air Freight & Logistics
Index	Renewables Users, Sound Pay Europe, PSI General, PSI 20
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: CTT - Correios

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	67	27	28	27
GROWTH
GROWTH	74	63	46	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	58	13	21	21
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	61	61	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	27	24	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better CTT - Correios is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	67	27	28	27
GROWTH
GROWTH	74	63	46	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	58	13	21	21
COMBINED
COMBINED	79	18	10	37

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of CTT - Correios the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with alternatives), CTT - Correios shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for CTT - Correios. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 54% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 48 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning CTT - Correios's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 15 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 85% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 21 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 79% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on CTT - Correios's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick CTT - Correios? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose CTT - Correios only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	83	47	50	48
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	74	35	28	15
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18	18	28	21
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	60	53	54	54
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	67	27	28	27

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of CTT - Correios; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, CTT - Correios shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for CTT - Correios. Sales Growth has a rank of 85 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 85% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 17% of competitors with a rank of 96, and Stock Returns with the rank of 67 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 17 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 83% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, CTT - Correios is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	51	34	33	85
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	14	75	55	17
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	13	52	96
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	90	89	54	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	74	63	46	83

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of CTT - Correios.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), the company CTT - Correios has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of CTT - Correios is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for CTT - Correios. Liquidity is at 82, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 3, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 97% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 4, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), CTT - Correios has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	100	6	6	4
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	1	1	3	3
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	76	77	79	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	58	13	21	21

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of CTT - Correios and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	18	61	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	77	80	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	64	43	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	61	61	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for CTT - Correios.
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