Fact based stock research
First Guaranty Bancshares (NasdaqGM:FGBI)
US32043P1066
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
First Guaranty Bancshares stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with investment alternatives), First Guaranty Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of First Guaranty Bancshares are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 24), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on First Guaranty Bancshares's financial characteristics. As the company First Guaranty Bancshares's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 24), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | X-Small |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: First Guaranty Bancshares
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 83 |
|
75 |
|
86 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
|
99 |
|
38 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
|
59 |
|
31 |
|
24 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
99 |
|
27 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with investment alternatives), First Guaranty Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of First Guaranty Bancshares are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 33), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 24), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 32, is a hold recommendation based on First Guaranty Bancshares's financial characteristics. As the company First Guaranty Bancshares's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 33) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 24), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 83 |
|
75 |
|
86 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 10 |
|
99 |
|
38 |
|
33 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 47 |
|
59 |
|
31 |
|
24 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 68 |
|
99 |
|
52 |
|
32 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, First Guaranty Bancshares shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for First Guaranty Bancshares. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 95, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning First Guaranty Bancshares's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 91% of alternatives (9% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 48 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 52% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 19, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on First Guaranty Bancshares's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for First Guaranty Bancshares may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 94 |
|
83 |
|
95 |
|
95 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 78 |
|
97 |
|
3 |
|
19 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 57 |
|
53 |
|
95 |
|
91 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 76 |
|
47 |
|
98 |
|
48 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 83 |
|
75 |
|
86 |
|
79 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), First Guaranty Bancshares shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for First Guaranty Bancshares. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 98, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 98% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 12, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 88% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 21 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 33 (67% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 33, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 12 |
|
82 |
|
89 |
|
12 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
90 |
|
4 |
|
98 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
57 |
|
69 |
|
21 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 33 |
|
73 |
|
5 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 10 |
|
99 |
|
38 |
|
33 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 24 (better than 24% compared with alternatives), the company First Guaranty Bancshares has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of First Guaranty Bancshares is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for First Guaranty Bancshares and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 100 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 100% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 14, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 4, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with alternatives), First Guaranty Bancshares has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of First Guaranty Bancshares are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with First Guaranty Bancshares and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 80 |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 29 |
|
37 |
|
21 |
|
14 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 33 |
|
9 |
|
1 |
|
4 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 47 |
|
59 |
|
31 |
|
24 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
41 |
|
3 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
92 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
59 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
8 |
|
59 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for First Guaranty Bancshares from December 19, 2024.
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