Fact based stock research
First Horizon National (NYSE:FHN)
US3205171057
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
First Horizon National stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with investment alternatives), First Horizon National (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of First Horizon National are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on First Horizon National's financial characteristics. As the company First Horizon National's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 32), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Regional Banks |
Index | D.J. US Banks, S&P MIDCAP |
Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: First Horizon National
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 79 |
|
57 |
|
83 |
|
55 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 81 |
|
53 |
|
13 |
|
39 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 78 |
|
3 |
|
18 |
|
32 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
23 |
|
93 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
13 |
|
50 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with investment alternatives), First Horizon National (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of First Horizon National are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on First Horizon National's financial characteristics. As the company First Horizon National's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 55) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 32), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 55% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 79 |
|
57 |
|
83 |
|
55 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 81 |
|
53 |
|
13 |
|
39 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 78 |
|
3 |
|
18 |
|
32 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 95 |
|
15 |
|
22 |
|
28 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), First Horizon National shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for First Horizon National. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price to earnings, P/E ratio) is 51 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 51% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning First Horizon National's profit levels. The same is valid for the expected Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 55, and for Dividend Yield with a Dividend Yield Rank of 65. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the stock price is higher than average as regards expected revenues; only 51% of all competitors have an even higher stock price as regards to sales revenues (a Price-to-Sales Rank of 49). Profits, the level of invested capital, and dividend policy suggest that this stock is attractively priced. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on First Horizon National's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since it is on the expensive side for Price-to-Sales, it may mean that First Horizon National has pricing power in its distribution market because it can charge higher prices than its competitors. If this is the case, all four value indicators are positive signals for purchasing First Horizon National shares. 9. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 74 |
|
75 |
|
73 |
|
49 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 71 |
|
63 |
|
69 |
|
51 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 46 |
|
50 |
|
66 |
|
55 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 88 |
|
37 |
|
79 |
|
65 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 79 |
|
57 |
|
83 |
|
55 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), First Horizon National shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for First Horizon National. Profit Growth has a rank of 55, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 55% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 73 (above 73% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 18, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 82% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 47. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for First Horizon National. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 81 |
|
8 |
|
23 |
|
18 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 1 |
|
82 |
|
41 |
|
55 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
47 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 50 |
|
29 |
|
3 |
|
73 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 81 |
|
53 |
|
13 |
|
39 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company First Horizon National has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of First Horizon National is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for First Horizon National. Liquidity is at 53, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 53% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 42, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 25, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), First Horizon National has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 84 |
|
2 |
|
21 |
|
25 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 56 |
|
35 |
|
30 |
|
42 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 63 |
|
20 |
|
56 |
|
53 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 78 |
|
3 |
|
18 |
|
32 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
75 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
72 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
9 |
|
80 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
6 |
|
60 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
23 |
|
93 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for First Horizon National from November 14, 2024.
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