Fact based stock research
First Mid Bancshares (NasdaqGM:FMBH)
US3208661062
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
First Mid Bancshares stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), First Mid Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of First Mid Bancshares are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on First Mid Bancshares's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company First Mid Bancshares exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 77). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: First Mid Bancshares
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 40 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
77 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 68 |
|
77 |
|
67 |
|
75 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
51 |
|
95 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
73 |
|
97 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 89 (better than 89% compared with investment alternatives), First Mid Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of First Mid Bancshares are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 89, is a strong buy recommendation based on First Mid Bancshares's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company First Mid Bancshares exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 77). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 40 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 41 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
77 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 68 |
|
77 |
|
67 |
|
75 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 38 |
|
85 |
|
87 |
|
89 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), First Mid Bancshares shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for First Mid Bancshares. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 65 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 65% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning First Mid Bancshares's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 66, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 66% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 78% of alternatives (only 22% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 74% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on First Mid Bancshares's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 49 |
|
45 |
|
25 |
|
22 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 23 |
|
67 |
|
67 |
|
65 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 51 |
|
73 |
|
62 |
|
66 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 35 |
|
51 |
|
26 |
|
26 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 40 |
|
63 |
|
35 |
|
41 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, First Mid Bancshares shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for First Mid Bancshares. Profit Growth, with a rank of 88 (better than 88% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 95, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 31. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 74 |
|
82 |
|
96 |
|
42 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 32 |
|
22 |
|
52 |
|
88 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
51 |
|
69 |
|
95 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 43 |
|
43 |
|
87 |
|
31 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 41 |
|
47 |
|
95 |
|
77 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company First Mid Bancshares has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of First Mid Bancshares is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for First Mid Bancshares. Refinancing is at 92, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 52, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 52% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 36, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 64% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives), First Mid Bancshares has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and First Mid Bancshares could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with First Mid Bancshares and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 35 |
|
22 |
|
44 |
|
36 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 71 |
|
96 |
|
92 |
|
92 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 73 |
|
66 |
|
30 |
|
52 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 68 |
|
77 |
|
67 |
|
75 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
85 |
|
91 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
23 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
3 |
|
79 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
74 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
51 |
|
95 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for First Mid Bancshares from November 14, 2024.
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