Fact based stock research
Flight Centre Travel (ASX:FLT)
AU000000FLT9
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Flight Centre Travel stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Flight Centre Travel (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, Australia) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Flight Centre Travel are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 38), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Flight Centre Travel's financial characteristics. As the company Flight Centre Travel's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 38) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Flight Centre Travel
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 66 |
|
85 |
|
93 |
|
75 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 14 |
|
46 |
|
48 |
|
38 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
37 |
|
90 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with investment alternatives), Flight Centre Travel (Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines, Australia) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Flight Centre Travel are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 75) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 38), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 84, is a strong buy recommendation based on Flight Centre Travel's financial characteristics. As the company Flight Centre Travel's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 75), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 38) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 66 |
|
85 |
|
93 |
|
75 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 14 |
|
46 |
|
48 |
|
38 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 5 |
|
60 |
|
90 |
|
84 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Flight Centre Travel shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Flight Centre Travel. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 61, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Flight Centre Travel's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 89% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 76 (dividends are expected to be higher than 76% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 58% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Flight Centre Travel to 42. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Flight Centre Travel's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 19 |
|
49 |
|
50 |
|
61 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 6 |
|
1 |
|
71 |
|
89 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 29 |
|
28 |
|
38 |
|
42 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
47 |
|
77 |
|
76 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
27 |
|
81 |
|
81 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Flight Centre Travel shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Flight Centre Travel. Sales Growth has a value of 53 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 53% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 73 and Capital Growth with a rank of 66 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 33, which means that stock returns have recently been below 67% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Flight Centre Travel has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Flight Centre Travel, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 34 |
|
91 |
|
54 |
|
53 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 36 |
|
51 |
|
85 |
|
73 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
67 |
|
61 |
|
66 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 36 |
|
63 |
|
85 |
|
33 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 66 |
|
85 |
|
93 |
|
75 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 38 (better than 38% compared with alternatives), the company Flight Centre Travel has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Flight Centre Travel is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Flight Centre Travel and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 55, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 32, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 68% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 26, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 74% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with alternatives), Flight Centre Travel has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Flight Centre Travel are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Flight Centre Travel and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 65 |
|
34 |
|
30 |
|
32 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 18 |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
55 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 1 |
|
23 |
|
28 |
|
26 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
|
46 |
|
48 |
|
38 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
55 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
54 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
31 |
|
56 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
19 |
|
65 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Flight Centre Travel from December 19, 2024.
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