Fact based stock research
Greif (NYSE:GEF)
US3976241071
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Greif stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Greif (Metal & Glass Containers, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Greif are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Greif's financial characteristics. As the company Greif's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Greif. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Metal & Glass Containers |
| Index | Energy Efficient, Human Rights, Timber Industry, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Greif
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
73 |
|
60 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
11 |
|
75 |
|
61 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 24 |
|
26 |
|
56 |
|
82 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
29 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Greif (Metal & Glass Containers, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Greif are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Greif's financial characteristics. As the company Greif's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Greif. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 70 |
|
73 |
|
60 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 46 |
|
11 |
|
75 |
|
61 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 24 |
|
26 |
|
56 |
|
82 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 46 |
|
28 |
|
83 |
|
92 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Greif shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Greif. Price-to-Sales is 78 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 78% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Greif's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 55% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 66. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Greif are expected to be higher than for 85% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 85). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on Greif's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Greif based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 71 |
|
81 |
|
74 |
|
78 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 73 |
|
62 |
|
35 |
|
55 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 44 |
|
62 |
|
62 |
|
66 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 82 |
|
69 |
|
79 |
|
85 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 70 |
|
73 |
|
60 |
|
79 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Greif shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Greif. Sales Growth has a rank of 63 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 63% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 26% of competitors with a rank of 96. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 26, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 74% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 33. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 47 |
|
21 |
|
75 |
|
63 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 36 |
|
38 |
|
29 |
|
26 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
14 |
|
100 |
|
96 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 60 |
|
65 |
|
35 |
|
33 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 46 |
|
11 |
|
75 |
|
61 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Greif has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Greif is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Greif. Refinancing is at 69, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 69% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 67, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 67% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 38, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 62% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Greif has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Greif could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Greif and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 10 |
|
29 |
|
46 |
|
38 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 64 |
|
36 |
|
39 |
|
69 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 29 |
|
52 |
|
51 |
|
67 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 24 |
|
26 |
|
56 |
|
82 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
6 |
|
47 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
93 |
|
21 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
46 |
|
71 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
57 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Greif from November 14, 2024.
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