Fact based stock research
Heritage Comerce (NasdaqGS:HTBK)

US4269271098

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Heritage Comerce stock research in summary

heritagecommercecorp.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Heritage Comerce (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Heritage Comerce are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 96), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Heritage Comerce's financial characteristics. As the company Heritage Comerce's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 45) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 96) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	45
Growth Rank	3
Safety Rank	96
Combined Rank	34

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Heritage Comerce

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	21	64	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	32	42	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	67	79	96	96
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	77	88	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	53	90	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Heritage Comerce is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	54	21	64	45
GROWTH
GROWTH	21	32	42	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	67	79	96	96
COMBINED
COMBINED	44	28	80	34

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Heritage Comerce the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Heritage Comerce shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Heritage Comerce. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 95% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 95), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 69, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 69% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 24 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 76% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Heritage Comerce's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for Heritage Comerce with a rank of 15. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 85% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Heritage Comerce's profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation based on Heritage Comerce's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, Heritage Comerce may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	27	12	31	24
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	22	13	55	15
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	59	43	67	69
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94	87	92	95
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	54	21	64	45

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Heritage Comerce; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), Heritage Comerce shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Heritage Comerce. Sales Growth has a rank of 49, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 15, and Capital Growth with 23. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 21, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 79% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	18	60	32	49
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	43	39	65	15
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	10	77	23
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	53	59	15	21
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	21	32	42	3

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Heritage Comerce.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Heritage Comerce has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Heritage Comerce is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Heritage Comerce. Leverage is at 63, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 63% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 70, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 70% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 90, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives), Heritage Comerce has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Heritage Comerce but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	98	48	65	63
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	10	81	71	70
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	72	60	85	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	67	79	96	96

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Heritage Comerce and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	94	87	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	4	58	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	82	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	77	88	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Heritage Comerce.
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