Fact based stock research
Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY)
NZMRPE0001S2
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Mercury NZ stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Mercury NZ (Electric Utilities, New Zealand) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mercury NZ are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Mercury NZ's financial characteristics. As the company Mercury NZ shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (83% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 81% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 81). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Mercury NZ, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | New Zealand |
| Industry | Electric Utilities |
| Index | NZSX 50 |
| Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Mercury NZ
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 24 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
17 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
|
70 |
|
52 |
|
32 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
62 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
83 |
|
10 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 36 (worse than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Mercury NZ (Electric Utilities, New Zealand) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Mercury NZ are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 32, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 81). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 36, is a hold recommendation based on Mercury NZ's financial characteristics. As the company Mercury NZ shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (83% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 81% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 81). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Mercury NZ, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 24 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
17 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 11 |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
81 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 91 |
|
70 |
|
52 |
|
32 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 75 |
|
77 |
|
18 |
|
36 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 17 (worse than 83% compared with alternatives), Mercury NZ shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Mercury NZ. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 50% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 25 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 75% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Mercury NZ's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 11 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 89% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 33 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 67% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation based on Mercury NZ's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Mercury NZ? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Mercury NZ only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 26 |
|
13 |
|
19 |
|
25 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 26 |
|
10 |
|
5 |
|
11 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 47 |
|
33 |
|
34 |
|
33 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 48 |
|
61 |
|
54 |
|
50 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 24 |
|
17 |
|
9 |
|
17 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Mercury NZ shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Mercury NZ. Profit Growth has a rank of 90 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 90% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 85, and Stock Returns has a rank of 57 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 57% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 17 (83% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 45 |
|
83 |
|
47 |
|
17 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 36 |
|
86 |
|
24 |
|
90 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
93 |
|
81 |
|
85 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 26 |
|
29 |
|
71 |
|
57 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 11 |
|
97 |
|
57 |
|
81 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 32 (better than 32% compared with alternatives), the company Mercury NZ has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Mercury NZ is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Mercury NZ and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 66 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 29, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 24, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 32 (worse than 68% compared with alternatives), Mercury NZ has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Mercury NZ are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Mercury NZ and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 88 |
|
74 |
|
66 |
|
66 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 58 |
|
35 |
|
33 |
|
29 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 61 |
|
56 |
|
47 |
|
24 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 91 |
|
70 |
|
52 |
|
32 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
41 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
79 |
|
37 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
43 |
|
65 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
62 |
|
36 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Mercury NZ from November 14, 2024.
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