Fact based stock research
Banco Comercial Portugues (ENXTLS:BCP)

PTBCP0AM0015

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Banco Comercial Portugues stock research in summary

millenniumbcp.pt

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with investment alternatives), Banco Comercial Portugues (Diversified Banks, Portugal) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Banco Comercial Portugues are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 85, is a strong buy recommendation based on Banco Comercial Portugues's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Banco Comercial Portugues exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 43), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 83). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	43
Growth Rank	83
Safety Rank	67
Combined Rank	85

Country	Portugal
Industry	Diversified Banks
Index	Employee Focus EU, Diversity Europe, Sound Pay Europe, PSI General, PSI 20
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Banco Comercial Portugues

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	63	70	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	5	40	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	9	13	45	67
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	24	54	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	3	56	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Banco Comercial Portugues is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	52	63	70	43
GROWTH
GROWTH	2	5	40	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	9	13	45	67
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	7	54	85

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Banco Comercial Portugues the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Banco Comercial Portugues shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Banco Comercial Portugues. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 56, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Banco Comercial Portugues's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 67, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 67% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 72% of alternatives (only 28% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 72% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Banco Comercial Portugues's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	94	84	67	56
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	1	48	55	28
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	96	86	57	28
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	10	83	67
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	52	63	70	43

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Banco Comercial Portugues; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Banco Comercial Portugues shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Banco Comercial Portugues. Profit Growth has a rank of 58 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 58% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 85, and Stock Returns has a rank of 93 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 93% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 41 (59% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	9	58	4	41
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	16	4	93	58
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	45	5	85
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	40	31	92	93
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	2	5	40	83

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Banco Comercial Portugues.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Banco Comercial Portugues has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Banco Comercial Portugues is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Banco Comercial Portugues. Leverage is at 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 57, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 57% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 65, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 65% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Banco Comercial Portugues has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Banco Comercial Portugues but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	8	48	52	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	26	53	57	57
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	2	9	43	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	9	13	45	67

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Banco Comercial Portugues and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	55	30	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	67	79	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	27	88	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	24	27	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	24	54	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Banco Comercial Portugues.
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