Fact based stock research
Moog (NYSE:MOG.A)
US6153942023
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Moog stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Moog (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Moog are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 25 (worse than 75% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Moog's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Moog exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 25), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| Index | Human Rights, D.J. US Defense |
| Size class | X-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
28-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Moog
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
|
79 |
|
47 |
|
25 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
17 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
53 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
16 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
32 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Moog (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Moog are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 25 (worse than 75% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 59) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 53, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Moog's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Moog exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 25), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 59). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 53) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 75 |
|
79 |
|
47 |
|
25 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 34 |
|
17 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 53 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
53 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 39 |
|
60 |
|
75 |
|
34 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 25 (worse than 75% compared with alternatives), Moog shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Moog. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 57% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 36 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Moog's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 26 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 74% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 34 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 66% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation based on Moog's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Moog? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Moog only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 61 |
|
65 |
|
47 |
|
36 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 70 |
|
65 |
|
37 |
|
26 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 54 |
|
72 |
|
49 |
|
34 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 59 |
|
67 |
|
61 |
|
57 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 75 |
|
79 |
|
47 |
|
25 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 59 (better than 59% compared with alternatives), Moog shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Moog. Profit Growth has a rank of 82, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 82% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 75 (above 75% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 34, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 66% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 35. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 59, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Moog. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 34 |
|
18 |
|
36 |
|
34 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 25 |
|
34 |
|
88 |
|
82 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
34 |
|
9 |
|
35 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 25 |
|
47 |
|
87 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 34 |
|
17 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), the company Moog has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Moog is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Moog. Leverage is at 54, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 54% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 64, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 64% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 54, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 54% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Moog has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Moog but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 27 |
|
46 |
|
49 |
|
54 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 81 |
|
76 |
|
67 |
|
64 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 47 |
|
50 |
|
41 |
|
54 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 53 |
|
65 |
|
59 |
|
53 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
46 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
9 |
|
83 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
84 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
14 |
|
17 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
16 |
|
43 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Moog from November 28, 2024.
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