Fact based stock research
Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC)

US6668071029

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Northrop Grumman stock research in summary

northropgrumman.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with investment alternatives), Northrop Grumman (Aerospace & Defense, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Northrop Grumman are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 3), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 11), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 11, is a sell recommendation based on Northrop Grumman's financial characteristics. As the company Northrop Grumman's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 93) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 3) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 11), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 93% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	93
Growth Rank	3
Safety Rank	11
Combined Rank	11

Country	USA
Industry	Aerospace & Defense
Index	Dividends USA, Diversity USA, SDG 4, D.J. US Defense, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Northrop Grumman

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	85	84	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	25	1	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	42	8	8	11
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	41	33	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	24	1	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 26-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Northrop Grumman is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	85	84	93
GROWTH
GROWTH	35	25	1	3
SAFETY
SAFETY	42	8	8	11
COMBINED
COMBINED	67	22	9	11

Last update of combined financial performance: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Northrop Grumman the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Northrop Grumman shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Northrop Grumman. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Northrop Grumman's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 73% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 88 (dividends are expected to be higher than 88% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 73% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Northrop Grumman to 27. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation based on Northrop Grumman's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner in assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Profits, and Dividends are reliable indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	33	60	58	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	78	80	70	73
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	17	24	28	27
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	80	86	86	88
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	58	85	84	93

Last update of Value Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Northrop Grumman; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 3 (better than 3% compared with alternatives), Northrop Grumman shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Northrop Grumman. Sales Growth has a rank of 10, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 90% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 40, and Capital Growth with 1. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 37, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 63% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 3, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	5	8	19	10
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	26	26	27	40
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	19	40	1
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	46	91	21	37
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	35	25	1	3

Last update of Growth Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Northrop Grumman.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 11 (better than 11% compared with alternatives), the company Northrop Grumman has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Northrop Grumman is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Northrop Grumman. Liquidity is at 58, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 58% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 8, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 92% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 19, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 81% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 11 (worse than 89% compared with alternatives), Northrop Grumman has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	46	20	17	19
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	25	21	14	8
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	65	45	52	58
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	42	8	8	11

Last update of Safety Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Northrop Grumman and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	33	24	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	36	53	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	59	71	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	69	42	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	41	33	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 26-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Northrop Grumman.
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