Fact based stock research
Provident Holdings (NasdaqGS:PROV)
US7438681014
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Provident Holdings stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Provident Holdings (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Provident Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 96), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 72), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Provident Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Provident Holdings's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 96), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 72), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Provident Holdings. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Thrifts & Mortgage Finance |
| Index | Dividends USA, Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | X-Small |
26-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Provident Holdings
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 64 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
90 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 2 |
|
17 |
|
41 |
|
96 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
|
47 |
|
52 |
|
72 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
21 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with investment alternatives), Provident Holdings (Thrifts & Mortgage Finance, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Provident Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 96), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 72), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 100, is a strong buy recommendation based on Provident Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Provident Holdings's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 96), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 72), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Provident Holdings. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 64 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
90 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 2 |
|
17 |
|
41 |
|
96 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 86 |
|
47 |
|
52 |
|
72 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 45 |
|
45 |
|
76 |
|
100 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Provident Holdings shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Provident Holdings. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 81 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 81% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Provident Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 69. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Provident Holdings are expected to be higher than for 74% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 74). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 47, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Provident Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 57 |
|
75 |
|
89 |
|
81 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 21 |
|
20 |
|
71 |
|
47 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 81 |
|
82 |
|
91 |
|
69 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 75 |
|
87 |
|
84 |
|
74 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 64 |
|
83 |
|
98 |
|
90 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 96 (better than 96% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Provident Holdings shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Provident Holdings. Sales Growth has a value of 62, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 62% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 71 and for Capital Growth with 66. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 88, which means they have been higher than 88% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 96, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Provident Holdings exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 1 |
|
60 |
|
73 |
|
62 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 60 |
|
4 |
|
45 |
|
71 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
63 |
|
29 |
|
66 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 13 |
|
5 |
|
37 |
|
88 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 2 |
|
17 |
|
41 |
|
96 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), the company Provident Holdings has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Provident Holdings is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Provident Holdings. Leverage is at a rank of 93, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 93% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 55, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 55% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 34, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 72 (better than 72% compared with alternatives), Provident Holdings has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Provident Holdings. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Provident Holdings and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 38 |
|
86 |
|
97 |
|
93 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 79 |
|
22 |
|
22 |
|
34 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 27 |
|
43 |
|
29 |
|
55 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 86 |
|
47 |
|
52 |
|
72 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
31 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
39 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
28 |
|
11 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Provident Holdings from December 26, 2024.
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