Fact based stock research
Serko (NZSE:SKO)
NZSKOE0001S7
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Serko stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Serko (Application Software, New Zealand) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Serko are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 61, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Serko's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Serko exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 29), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 61) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | New Zealand |
| Industry | Application Software |
| Index | NZSX 50 |
| Size class | X-Small |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Serko
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | n/a |
|
27 |
|
20 |
|
29 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | n/a |
|
81 |
|
97 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | n/a |
|
46 |
|
51 |
|
61 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
53 |
|
58 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
57 |
|
66 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with investment alternatives), Serko (Application Software, New Zealand) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Serko are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 61, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation based on Serko's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Serko exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 29), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 61) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | n/a |
|
27 |
|
20 |
|
29 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | n/a |
|
81 |
|
97 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | n/a |
|
46 |
|
51 |
|
61 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | n/a |
|
51 |
|
68 |
|
43 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), Serko shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Serko. Price-to-Sales is 36 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 64% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Serko's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 43, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Serko. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 3 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 99% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Serko's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Serko? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Serko? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Serko may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | n/a |
|
16 |
|
19 |
|
36 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | n/a |
|
7 |
|
29 |
|
3 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | n/a |
|
52 |
|
29 |
|
43 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | n/a |
|
27 |
|
20 |
|
29 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Serko shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Serko. Sales Growth has a rank of 94, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 94% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 54 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 11, and Stock Returns with 27 are also below-average. Stock returns for Serko have recently been below 73% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Serko. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | n/a |
|
99 |
|
100 |
|
94 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
20 |
|
79 |
|
54 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
94 |
|
67 |
|
11 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | n/a |
|
57 |
|
97 |
|
27 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | n/a |
|
81 |
|
97 |
|
53 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), the company Serko has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Serko is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Serko.Leverage is at 84, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 77, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 4, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Serko has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Serko more challenging. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | n/a |
|
89 |
|
86 |
|
84 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | n/a |
|
50 |
|
66 |
|
77 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | n/a |
|
1 |
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | n/a |
|
46 |
|
51 |
|
61 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
44 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
23 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
79 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
53 |
|
58 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Serko from December 19, 2024.
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