Fact based stock research
The North West (TSX:NWC)

CA6632782083

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

The North West stock research in summary

northwest.ca

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with investment alternatives), The North West (Food Retail, Canada) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of The North West are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 91), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 74), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 93, is a strong buy recommendation based on The North West's financial characteristics. As the company The North West's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 91), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 74), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of The North West. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	53
Growth Rank	91
Safety Rank	74
Combined Rank	93

Country	Canada
Industry	Food Retail
Index	TSX Composite
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: The North West

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	63	63	76	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	51	29	77	91
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	53	45	74
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	71	90	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	53	96	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Jul-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better The North West is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	63	63	76	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	51	29	77	91
SAFETY
SAFETY	72	53	45	74
COMBINED
COMBINED	69	49	84	93

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of The North West the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), The North West shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for The North West. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 52 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning The North West's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 30, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 30% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than 66% of alternatives (only 34% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than 10% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on The North West's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high in respect to expected revenues, it means that the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than pay it out to shareholders, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	35	44	39	34
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	75	45	64	52
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	26	50	41	30
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	94	86	94	90
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	63	63	76	53

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of The North West; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 91 (better than 91% compared with alternatives) for 2024, The North West shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for The North West. Sales Growth has a value of 73, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 73% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 60 and for Capital Growth with 53. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 85, which means they have been higher than 85% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 91, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, The North West exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	19	13	41	73
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	34	19	79	60
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	58	71	53
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	55	49	55	85
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	51	29	77	91

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of The North West.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), the company The North West has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of The North West is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for The North West. Leverage is at 50, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 50% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 58, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 58% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 76, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 74 (better than 74% compared with alternatives), The North West has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with The North West but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	66	38	46	50
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	54	50	50	58
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	73	71	63	76
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	72	53	45	74

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of The North West and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	18	33	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	83	100	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	47	100	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	82	87	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	71	90	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for The North West.
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