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Third Coast Bancshares (NasdaqGS:TCBX)

US88422P1093

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Third Coast Bancshares stock research in summary

tcbssb.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with investment alternatives), Third Coast Bancshares (Regional Banks, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Third Coast Bancshares are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 33, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 95). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Third Coast Bancshares's financial characteristics. As the company Third Coast Bancshares shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (53% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 95% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 95). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 33 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Third Coast Bancshares, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	47
Growth Rank	95
Safety Rank	33
Combined Rank	69

Country	USA
Industry	Regional Banks
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	XX-Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Research History: Third Coast Bancshares

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	41	74	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	89	100	95
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	53	47	33
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	12	76	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	21	92	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Third Coast Bancshares is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	41	74	47
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	89	100	95
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	53	47	33
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	95	94	69

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Third Coast Bancshares the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Third Coast Bancshares shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Third Coast Bancshares. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 85, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 85% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Third Coast Bancshares's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 57% of alternatives (only 43% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 51% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Third Coast Bancshares's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Third Coast Bancshares could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Third Coast Bancshares looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	64	100	85
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	34	57	49
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	76	93	43
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	41	74	47

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Third Coast Bancshares; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 95 (better than 95% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Third Coast Bancshares shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Third Coast Bancshares. Profit Growth has a rank of 100, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 100% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 99 (above 99% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 47, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 53% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 45. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 95, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for Third Coast Bancshares. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	84	92	47
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	94	94	100
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	100	99	45
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	3	69	99
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	89	100	95

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Third Coast Bancshares.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 33 (better than 33% compared with alternatives), the company Third Coast Bancshares has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Third Coast Bancshares is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Third Coast Bancshares and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 88 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 88% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 12, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 21, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 79% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 33 (worse than 67% compared with alternatives), Third Coast Bancshares has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Third Coast Bancshares are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Third Coast Bancshares and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	100	86	88
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	8	17	12
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	31	33	21
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	53	47	33

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Third Coast Bancshares and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	74	85	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	10	51	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	4	75	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	12	76	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Third Coast Bancshares.
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