Fact based stock research
Travelers (NYSE:TRV)

US89417E1091

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Travelers stock research in summary

travelers.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with investment alternatives), Travelers (Property & Casualty Insurance, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Travelers are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 39 (worse than 61% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 83) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 70, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 81, is a strong buy recommendation based on Travelers's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Travelers exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 39), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 83). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 70) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	39
Growth Rank	83
Safety Rank	70
Combined Rank	81

Country	USA
Industry	Property & Casualty Insurance
Index	Dow Jones, Diversity USA, D.J. US Insurance, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Travelers

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	47	51	52	39
GROWTH
GROWTH	70	37	29	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	21	70	70	70
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	83	46	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	65	78	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Travelers is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	47	51	52	39
GROWTH
GROWTH	70	37	29	83
SAFETY
SAFETY	21	70	70	70
COMBINED
COMBINED	45	81	81	81

Last update of combined financial performance: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Travelers the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), Travelers shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Travelers. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 52, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Travelers's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 51, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 51% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 56% of alternatives (only 44% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 53% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation based on Travelers's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	36	50	58	52
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	59	45	64	47
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	39	52	44	44
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	52	51	54	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	47	51	52	39

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Travelers; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 83 (better than 83% compared with alternatives) for 2022, Travelers shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Travelers. Profit Growth has a rank of 81 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 81% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 73, and Stock Returns has a rank of 71 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 71% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 48 (52% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 83, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	47	51	73	48
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	16	46	22	81
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	51	39	73
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	71	43	31	71
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	70	37	29	83

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Travelers.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), the company Travelers has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Travelers is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Travelers. Leverage is at a rank of 68, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 68% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 70, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 0, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 100% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 70 (better than 70% compared with alternatives), Travelers has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Travelers. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Travelers and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	37	64	61	68
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	10	n/a	n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	53	75	80	70
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	21	70	70	70

Last update of Safety Rank: 6-Oct-2022. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Travelers and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	26	34	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	52	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	95	78	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	76	49	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	83	46	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Travelers.
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