Fact based stock research
Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF)
US0028962076
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Abercrombie & Fitch stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Abercrombie & Fitch (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Abercrombie & Fitch are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Abercrombie & Fitch's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Abercrombie & Fitch exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Apparel Retail |
| Index | |
| Size class | X-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Abercrombie & Fitch
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
|
57 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 82 |
|
53 |
|
93 |
|
99 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
|
72 |
|
40 |
|
76 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
87 |
|
66 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with investment alternatives), Abercrombie & Fitch (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Abercrombie & Fitch are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 99) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 76, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 76, is a strong buy recommendation based on Abercrombie & Fitch's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Abercrombie & Fitch exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 15), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 99). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 76) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 63 |
|
57 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 82 |
|
53 |
|
93 |
|
99 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 29 |
|
72 |
|
40 |
|
76 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 68 |
|
75 |
|
39 |
|
76 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Abercrombie & Fitch shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Abercrombie & Fitch. Only Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) indicates good stock value with a rank of 54, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 54% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Abercrombie & Fitch's profit levels. But Price-to-Sales is 27 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 73% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Abercrombie & Fitch's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 28 and for dividend yield, which is lower than for 99% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive as regards to the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 15, is a sell recommendation based on Abercrombie & Fitch's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Can we rely on only one good value indicator? Only if we know the company well. In this case, a high Price-to-Profit Rank, while Price-to-Sales and Price-to-Book are both below the market typical levels, means that the company can charge higher prices for its products and needs less capital to produce them. If this is sustainable, then Abercrombie & Fitch is a good investment because profits count most in enterprise valuations. The low dividend yield indicates that the company is confident it can do something with the generated cash that is more valuable than paying the profits out to the shareholders in the form of dividends. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 74 |
|
62 |
|
27 |
|
27 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 91 |
|
71 |
|
43 |
|
54 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 59 |
|
69 |
|
33 |
|
28 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 63 |
|
57 |
|
12 |
|
15 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 99 (better than 99% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Abercrombie & Fitch shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Abercrombie & Fitch. Sales Growth has a rank of 72 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 72% of its competitors. Both Profit Growth, with a rank of 92, and Stock Returns, with a rank of 100, are also above average. But Capital Growth only has a rank of 40, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 60% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 99, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. That may be a good sign if the company is already well positioned and doesn't require more investments at this time. They may focus on growing the top (revenues) and bottom (profits) lines, recently rewarded with above-average stock returns for shareholders. But it may also be a sign of danger as the company is falling back with capital investment activities concerning competition. This requires further analysis of corporate communications. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 32 |
|
33 |
|
55 |
|
72 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 19 |
|
87 |
|
100 |
|
92 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
30 |
|
34 |
|
40 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 96 |
|
63 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 82 |
|
53 |
|
93 |
|
99 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Abercrombie & Fitch has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Abercrombie & Fitch is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Abercrombie & Fitch. Leverage is at a rank of 66, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 66% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 81, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 81% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 39, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 76 (better than 76% compared with alternatives), Abercrombie & Fitch has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Abercrombie & Fitch. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Abercrombie & Fitch and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 45 |
|
60 |
|
55 |
|
66 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 22 |
|
82 |
|
40 |
|
39 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 57 |
|
32 |
|
28 |
|
81 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 29 |
|
72 |
|
40 |
|
76 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
40 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
98 |
|
100 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
63 |
|
92 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
61 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Abercrombie & Fitch from November 14, 2024.
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