Fact based stock research
Advantage (TSX:AAV)
CA00791P1071
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Advantage stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Advantage (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Advantage are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on Advantage's financial characteristics. As the company Advantage's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Advantage. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Canada |
Industry | Oil & Gas Production |
Index | |
Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Advantage
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
61 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 67 |
|
95 |
|
31 |
|
61 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 73 |
|
89 |
|
98 |
|
51 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
63 |
|
60 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
93 |
|
52 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with investment alternatives), Advantage (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Advantage are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 61), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on Advantage's financial characteristics. As the company Advantage's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 61), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Advantage. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 6 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
61 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 67 |
|
95 |
|
31 |
|
61 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 73 |
|
89 |
|
98 |
|
51 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 45 |
|
91 |
|
46 |
|
62 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Advantage shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Advantage. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 61, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Advantage's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 75% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 84. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Advantage (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on Advantage's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 12 |
|
30 |
|
34 |
|
61 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 28 |
|
38 |
|
48 |
|
75 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 45 |
|
74 |
|
74 |
|
84 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 6 |
|
25 |
|
23 |
|
61 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), Advantage shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Advantage. Sales Growth has a rank of 98 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 98% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 10% of competitors with a rank of 77. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 10, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 90% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 31. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 50 |
|
66 |
|
73 |
|
98 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 82 |
|
85 |
|
29 |
|
10 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
50 |
|
40 |
|
77 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 82 |
|
85 |
|
35 |
|
31 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 67 |
|
95 |
|
31 |
|
61 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), the company Advantage has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Advantage is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Advantage and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 78 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 78% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 38, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 62% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Advantage has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Advantage are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Advantage and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 69 |
|
93 |
|
90 |
|
78 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 35 |
|
61 |
|
78 |
|
38 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 79 |
|
63 |
|
87 |
|
39 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 73 |
|
89 |
|
98 |
|
51 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
70 |
|
74 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
13 |
|
21 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
10 |
|
29 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
96 |
|
97 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
63 |
|
60 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Advantage from November 14, 2024.
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