Fact based stock research
Advantage (TSX:AAV)

CA00791P1071

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Advantage stock research in summary

advantageog.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Advantage (Oil & Gas Production, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Advantage are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 60) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 45), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Advantage's financial characteristics. As the company Advantage's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 58) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 60), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 45) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	58
Growth Rank	60
Safety Rank	45
Combined Rank	63

Country	Canada
Industry	Oil & Gas Production
Index
Size class	Medium

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Advantage

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	6	25	23	58
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	95	31	60
SAFETY
SAFETY	73	89	98	45
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	63	60	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	93	52	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Advantage is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	6	25	23	58
GROWTH
GROWTH	67	95	31	60
SAFETY
SAFETY	73	89	98	45
COMBINED
COMBINED	45	91	46	63

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Advantage the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), Advantage shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Advantage. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 62, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Advantage's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 80% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 81. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Advantage (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Advantage's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	12	30	34	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	28	38	48	80
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	45	74	74	81
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	6	25	23	58

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Advantage; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 60 (better than 60% compared with alternatives), Advantage shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Advantage. Sales Growth has a rank of 98 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 98% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 13% of competitors with a rank of 66. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 13, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 87% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 44. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 60, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	50	66	73	98
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	82	85	29	13
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	50	40	66
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	82	85	35	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	67	95	31	60

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Advantage.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), the company Advantage has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Advantage is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Advantage and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 77 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 77% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 34, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 66% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 39, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 61% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 45 (worse than 55% compared with alternatives), Advantage has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Advantage are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Advantage and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	69	93	90	77
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	35	61	78	34
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	79	63	87	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	73	89	98	45

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Advantage and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	70	74	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	13	21	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	10	29	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	96	97	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	63	60	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Advantage.
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