Fact based stock research
AECOM (NYSE:ACM)
US00766T1007
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
AECOM stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), AECOM (Construction & Engineering, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of AECOM are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 49), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on AECOM's financial characteristics. As the company AECOM's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 49), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Construction & Engineering |
| Index | Dividends USA, Water Tech, S&P MIDCAP |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: AECOM
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 43 |
|
79 |
|
25 |
|
39 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
29 |
|
31 |
|
49 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
97 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
83 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), AECOM (Construction & Engineering, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of AECOM are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 39), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 49), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on AECOM's financial characteristics. As the company AECOM's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 79) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 39) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 49), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 79% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 22 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
79 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 43 |
|
79 |
|
25 |
|
39 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 20 |
|
29 |
|
31 |
|
49 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 23 |
|
64 |
|
30 |
|
73 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 79 (better than 79% compared with alternatives) for 2024, AECOM shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for AECOM. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 75, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 75% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning AECOM's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 85, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 85% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 74% of alternatives (only 26% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 54% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 79, is a buy recommendation based on AECOM's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 72 |
|
71 |
|
74 |
|
75 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 25 |
|
37 |
|
42 |
|
46 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 24 |
|
24 |
|
21 |
|
26 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
79 |
|
84 |
|
85 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 22 |
|
57 |
|
71 |
|
79 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 39 (better than 39% compared with alternatives), AECOM shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for AECOM. Profit Growth has a rank of 54, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 54% of its competitors. This is a good sign for shareholders, which is confirmed by an above-average Stock Returns rank of 55 (above 55% of alternative investments). But Sales Growth has a below the median rank of 42, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 58% of its competitors, and Capital Growth also has a lower rank of 47. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Because revenues and invested capital are the more solid growth indicators, the positive development on the profit side is less relevant. It may have been caused by cost-cutting, which may be a negative growth indicator. Finally, the above-average stock returns recently are a thing of the past and not a good indicator of future returns. Investors should be confident that the cost-cutting initiative leading to higher profits is to benefit the company's future. If not, there is little growth momentum, and investment is only advisable if the Value Ranks suggest a good investment timing for AECOM. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 33 |
|
32 |
|
28 |
|
42 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 86 |
|
49 |
|
60 |
|
54 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
81 |
|
46 |
|
47 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 62 |
|
77 |
|
35 |
|
55 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 43 |
|
79 |
|
25 |
|
39 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 49 (better than 49% compared with alternatives), the company AECOM has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of AECOM is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for AECOM. Liquidity is at 60, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 60% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 41, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 59% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 24, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), AECOM has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 42 |
|
34 |
|
28 |
|
24 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 18 |
|
35 |
|
21 |
|
41 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 51 |
|
35 |
|
57 |
|
60 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 20 |
|
29 |
|
31 |
|
49 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
85 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
64 |
|
88 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
73 |
|
23 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
80 |
|
85 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
97 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for AECOM from November 14, 2024.
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