Fact based stock research
Afya (NasdaqGS:AFYA)

KYG011251066

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Afya stock research in summary

afya.com.br

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 28 (worse than 72% compared with investment alternatives), Afya (Education Services, Brazil) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Afya are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 21), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 48), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 28, is a hold recommendation based on Afya's financial characteristics. As the company Afya's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 21) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 48), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 53% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	53
Growth Rank	21
Safety Rank	48
Combined Rank	28

Country	Brazil
Industry	Education Services
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Medium

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Afya

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	28	67	53	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	27	39	21
SAFETY
SAFETY	86	93	35	48
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	74	57	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	89	45	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Afya is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	28	67	53	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	83	27	39	21
SAFETY
SAFETY	86	93	35	48
COMBINED
COMBINED	77	93	41	28

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Afya the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Afya shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Afya. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 57, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 57% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Afya's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 78% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 72. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Afya (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Afya's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	24	47	34	57
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	72	89	78	78
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	57	78	61	72
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	28	67	53	53

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Afya; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 21 (better than 21% compared with alternatives), Afya shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Afya. Sales Growth has a rank of 50, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 50% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 51 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 22, and Stock Returns with 25 are also below-average. Stock returns for Afya have recently been below 75% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Afya. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	96	74	29	50
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	10	28	51
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	90	69	22
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	12	17	77	25
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	83	27	39	21

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Afya.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 48 (better than 48% compared with alternatives), the company Afya has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Afya is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Afya and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 65, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 65% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 33, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 67% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 30, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 70% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with alternatives), Afya has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Afya are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Afya and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	71	62	32	33
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	59	69	41	65
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	87	64	35	30
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	86	93	35	48

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Afya and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	39	76	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	72	17	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	30	30	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	94	81	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	74	57	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Afya.
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