Fact based stock research
Air Products and Chemicals (NYSE:APD)

US0091581068

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Air Products and Chemicals stock research in summary

airproducts.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with investment alternatives), Air Products and Chemicals (Industrial Gases, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Air Products and Chemicals are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 43, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 67). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 34, is a hold recommendation based on Air Products and Chemicals's financial characteristics. As the company Air Products and Chemicals shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (79% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 67% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 67). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 43 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Air Products and Chemicals, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	21
Growth Rank	67
Safety Rank	43
Combined Rank	34

Country	USA
Industry	Industrial Gases
Index	Low Emissions, Customer Focus US, Energy Efficient, Electromobility, Moonshot Tech, Water Efficiency, S&P 500
Size class	XX-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Air Products and Chemicals

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	23	12	19	21
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	10	80	67
SAFETY
SAFETY	42	74	46	43
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	24	73	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	16	63	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Air Products and Chemicals is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	23	12	19	21
GROWTH
GROWTH	16	10	80	67
SAFETY
SAFETY	42	74	46	43
COMBINED
COMBINED	14	20	44	34

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Air Products and Chemicals the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 21 (worse than 79% compared with alternatives), Air Products and Chemicals shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Air Products and Chemicals. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 80% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 16 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 84% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Air Products and Chemicals's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 22 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 78% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 20 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 80% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 21, is a sell recommendation based on Air Products and Chemicals's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Air Products and Chemicals? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Air Products and Chemicals only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	11	7	5	16
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	31	14	25	22
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	34	25	20
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	76	70	77	80
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	23	12	19	21

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Air Products and Chemicals; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Air Products and Chemicals shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Air Products and Chemicals. Sales Growth has a rank of 82 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 82% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 65. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 31, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 69% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 46, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 67, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 65% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	41	49	96	82
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	5	31	77	46
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	26	41	31
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	12	28	34	65
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	16	10	80	67

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Air Products and Chemicals.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), the company Air Products and Chemicals has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Air Products and Chemicals is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Air Products and Chemicals. Liquidity is at 89, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 89% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is riskier at a rank of 13, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Leverage is also high at a rank of 42, which means that the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 58% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 43 (worse than 57% compared with alternatives), Air Products and Chemicals has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. High Leverage (a low Obermatt Leverage Rank) is good in good times, because it usually indicates that shareholders get higher returns. The good Liquidity performance of the company is an indicator that this is the case. However, if you expect an economic downturn, you may stay clear of this stock because they have an above-average debt level that needs refinancing soon. If the company is sailing with good winds, as may be visible from the Growth and Sentiment performance, the refinancing risk may be lower than the low Refinancing rank suggests. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	48	77	61	42
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	26	28	12	13
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	45	82	76	89
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	42	74	46	43

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Air Products and Chemicals and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	35	47	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	62	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	36	56	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	31	76	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	24	73	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Air Products and Chemicals.
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