Fact based stock research
Airtel Africa (LSE:AAF)

GB00BKDRYJ47

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Airtel Africa stock research in summary

airtel.africa

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Airtel Africa (Wireless Telecommunication, United Kingdom) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Airtel Africa are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 1, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 100). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 37, is a hold recommendation based on Airtel Africa's financial characteristics. As the company Airtel Africa shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (78% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 100% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 100). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Airtel Africa, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	22
Growth Rank	100
Safety Rank	1
Combined Rank	37

Country	United Kingdom
Industry	Wireless Telecommunication
Index	FTSE All Shares, FTSE 250, FTSE 350
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

31-Jul-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Airtel Africa

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	37	32	26	22
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	81	82	100
SAFETY
SAFETY	14	12	1	1
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	10	64	30	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	25	42	16	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 31-Jul-2025. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 31-Mar-2025. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Airtel Africa is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2022	2023	2024	2025
VALUE
VALUE	37	32	26	22
GROWTH
GROWTH	100	81	82	100
SAFETY
SAFETY	14	12	1	1
COMBINED
COMBINED	59	33	25	37

Last update of combined financial performance: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Airtel Africa the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 22 (worse than 78% compared with alternatives), Airtel Africa shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators below average for Airtel Africa. Price-to-Sales is 32 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 68% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Airtel Africa's sales levels. Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) also has a low Price-to-Book Rank of 22, which means that both reliable company size indicators, sales, and invested capital cannot explain the high stock price of Airtel Africa. In addition, the two profit-related value indicators, Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a low rank of 37 and Dividend Yield, which is lower than 68% of comparable companies, also make the stock more expensive compared with investment alternatives. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 22, is a sell recommendation based on Airtel Africa's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. How can market participants pay such a high price for Airtel Africa? One reason may be that the company is simply too popular. If enough people want a particular stock, its price can exceed reasonable levels. This is often the case for companies offering new and exciting products and everybody wants a piece of the action. Should you pay a lot for a hot stock such as Airtel Africa? It's risky, and even if the stock price continues to grow because of popular demand, it may return to more typical lower levels later. And that return can be sudden and quick, making it impossible for retail investors to exit on time. Sometimes, high prices are deserved. This is the case when it is justified to believe that the company will dominate a market with high profit margins. It has happened in the past for many technology companies and indeed for commercially successful pharmaceutical discoveries. Sometimes they last, sometimes, they get eaten alive. Airtel Africa may be such a type of stock. That would mean, retail investors should be careful, only considering investing a small part of their wealth in this exciting category and always being ready to lose more than half, if not all of the investment. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	44	37	41	32
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	62	52	43	37
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	32	37	14	22
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	32	32	30	32
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	37	32	26	22

Last update of Value Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Airtel Africa; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Airtel Africa shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four indicators above average for Airtel Africa. Sales Growth has a value of 100, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth with a value of 86 and for Capital Growth with 85. In addition, Stock Returns had an above-average rank value of 98, which means they have been higher than 98% of comparable investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Since all Growth Ranks are positive, Airtel Africa exhibits above-average growth momentum. This could be due to a uniquely strong market position, proprietary technology, or an extensive corporate acquisition strategy. Growth investors will find this an attractive investment opportunity, unless they expect that the current phase is transitory and will deteriorate in the future. The current performance could also be a temporary recovery from a very low point, such as a turn-around situation. In the case of a turn-around, the current performance may or may not be followed by a continuing positive development. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	84	84	100	100
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	78	25	16	86
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	55	66	80	85
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	97	75	86	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	100	81	82	100

Last update of Growth Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Airtel Africa.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 1 (better than 1% compared with alternatives), the company Airtel Africa has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Airtel Africa is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Airtel Africa. Liquidity is at 27, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 73% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 15, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 85% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 6 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 1 (worse than 99% compared with alternatives), Airtel Africa has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Airtel Africa because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2022	2023	2024	2025
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	32	38	21	15
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	25	7	8	6
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	37	44	41	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	14	12	1	1

Last update of Safety Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Airtel Africa and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2022	2023	2024	2025
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	81	38	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	32	67	42	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	39	65	12	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	32	13	63	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	10	64	30	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 31-Jul-2025. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Airtel Africa.
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