Fact based stock research
Alaska Air Group (NYSE:ALK)
US0116591092
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Alaska Air Group stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Alaska Air Group (Airlines, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Alaska Air Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 94), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Alaska Air Group's financial characteristics. As the company Alaska Air Group's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 62), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 94), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Alaska Air Group. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Airlines |
| Index | Employee Focus US, S&P 500 |
| Size class | X-Large |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Alaska Air Group
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
|
51 |
|
72 |
|
62 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 68 |
|
90 |
|
43 |
|
94 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
|
10 |
|
49 |
|
58 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
34 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with investment alternatives), Alaska Air Group (Airlines, USA) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Alaska Air Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 94), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 58), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 92, is a strong buy recommendation based on Alaska Air Group's financial characteristics. As the company Alaska Air Group's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 62), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 94), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 58), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Alaska Air Group. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 32 |
|
51 |
|
72 |
|
62 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 68 |
|
90 |
|
43 |
|
94 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 15 |
|
10 |
|
49 |
|
58 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 28 |
|
47 |
|
55 |
|
92 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 62 (better than 62% compared with alternatives), Alaska Air Group shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Alaska Air Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Alaska Air Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 79% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 68. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Alaska Air Group (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 62, is a buy recommendation based on Alaska Air Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 63 |
|
59 |
|
73 |
|
70 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 31 |
|
69 |
|
85 |
|
79 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 48 |
|
57 |
|
70 |
|
68 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 32 |
|
51 |
|
72 |
|
62 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 94 (better than 94% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Alaska Air Group shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Alaska Air Group. Sales Growth has a rank of 100 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 100% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 49% of competitors with a rank of 61, and Stock Returns with the rank of 92 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 49 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 51% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 94, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Alaska Air Group is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 25 |
|
80 |
|
29 |
|
100 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 25 |
|
66 |
|
70 |
|
49 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
74 |
|
64 |
|
61 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 83 |
|
45 |
|
31 |
|
92 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 68 |
|
90 |
|
43 |
|
94 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), the company Alaska Air Group has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Alaska Air Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above average for Alaska Air Group. Leverage is at a rank of 71, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 71% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the safer side when it comes to debt service. But Refinancing is lower at a rank of 14, which means that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 86% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with alternatives), Alaska Air Group has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. The refinancing issues could be a short-term problem, especially if the company has reputation issues. Banks and investors don't like to refinance debt if there are clouds on the horizon. For this reason, investors should look at the refinancing environment for Alaska Air Group. Does it look safe that debt that is coming due can be covered with new debt? If that is the case, then the financing situation of the company is on the safer side. If not, it may be better to wait until refinancing has been completed and the Refinancing rank is good again. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge with Alaska Air Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 60 |
|
48 |
|
68 |
|
71 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 15 |
|
19 |
|
15 |
|
14 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
53 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 15 |
|
10 |
|
49 |
|
58 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
93 |
|
67 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
42 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
8 |
|
32 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
20 |
|
44 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
29 |
|
51 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Alaska Air Group from December 19, 2024.
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