Fact based stock research
Albany (NYSE:AIN)
US0123481089
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Albany stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Albany (Industrial Machinery, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Albany are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 77), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Albany's financial characteristics. As the company Albany's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 77) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Industrial Machinery |
Index | |
Size class | Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Albany
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 45 |
|
45 |
|
22 |
|
47 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 29 |
|
41 |
|
79 |
|
45 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 67 |
|
77 |
|
82 |
|
77 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
70 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
69 |
|
87 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 73 (better than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Albany (Industrial Machinery, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Albany are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 77), which means low debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 73, is a buy recommendation based on Albany's financial characteristics. As the company Albany's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 47) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 77) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 45 |
|
45 |
|
22 |
|
47 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 29 |
|
41 |
|
79 |
|
45 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 67 |
|
77 |
|
82 |
|
77 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 41 |
|
61 |
|
73 |
|
73 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 47 (worse than 53% compared with alternatives), Albany shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Albany. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 73% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 37 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 63% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Albany's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 39 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 61% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 48 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 52% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 47, is a hold recommendation based on Albany's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Albany? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Albany only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 31 |
|
29 |
|
29 |
|
37 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 49 |
|
32 |
|
27 |
|
39 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 31 |
|
49 |
|
36 |
|
48 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 61 |
|
55 |
|
60 |
|
73 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 45 |
|
45 |
|
22 |
|
47 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Albany shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Albany. Sales Growth has a rank of 54 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 54% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 19% of competitors with a rank of 87. But Profit Growth only has a rank of 19, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 81% of its competitors. And Stock Returns have also been below average with a rank of only 23. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Profits are sometimes low if the company invests in the future. The positive revenue and capital investment outlook confirms such an interpretation. Both revenues and capital are solid growth indicators, and lower profits in such a case would be encouraging. But the investors see it differently by punishing the share price. Sometimes, Mister Market is not very reliable, because it is not uncommon for it to be volatile. Investors should look out for signs of growth expenditure that could justify low profit growth, and they may also find reasons why recent stock price developments don't confirm the growth outlook of operations. While operating growth indicators are not perfect, they are more reliable indicators for future performance than stock prices that can repeatedly surprise investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 14 |
|
50 |
|
85 |
|
54 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 27 |
|
14 |
|
21 |
|
19 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
56 |
|
100 |
|
87 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 71 |
|
67 |
|
27 |
|
23 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 29 |
|
41 |
|
79 |
|
45 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Albany has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Albany is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Albany. Leverage is at 56, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 56% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 64, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 64% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 64, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 64% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives), Albany has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Albany but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 47 |
|
46 |
|
54 |
|
56 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 49 |
|
56 |
|
63 |
|
64 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 72 |
|
77 |
|
72 |
|
64 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 67 |
|
77 |
|
82 |
|
77 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
21 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
36 |
|
56 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
90 |
|
79 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
58 |
|
70 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Albany from November 14, 2024.
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