Fact based stock research
Alithya Group (TSX:ALYA)
CA01643B1067
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Alithya Group stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Alithya Group (IT Consulting & oth. Services, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alithya Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Alithya Group's financial characteristics. As the company Alithya Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 77% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Canada |
Industry | IT Consulting & oth. Services |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Medium |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Alithya Group
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 56 |
|
61 |
|
80 |
|
77 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 94 |
|
69 |
|
21 |
|
25 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 18 |
|
73 |
|
18 |
|
67 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
26 |
|
20 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
65 |
|
11 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 64 (better than 64% compared with investment alternatives), Alithya Group (IT Consulting & oth. Services, Canada) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alithya Group are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 67, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 25). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 64, is a buy recommendation based on Alithya Group's financial characteristics. As the company Alithya Group's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 77) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 25) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 67), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 77% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 56 |
|
61 |
|
80 |
|
77 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 94 |
|
69 |
|
21 |
|
25 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 18 |
|
73 |
|
18 |
|
67 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 44 |
|
78 |
|
21 |
|
64 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Alithya Group shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Alithya Group. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 90, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 90% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Alithya Group's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 56% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 90. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Alithya Group (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation based on Alithya Group's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 88 |
|
93 |
|
93 |
|
90 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 38 |
|
10 |
|
96 |
|
56 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 77 |
|
92 |
|
96 |
|
90 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 56 |
|
61 |
|
80 |
|
77 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 25 (better than 25% compared with alternatives), Alithya Group shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Alithya Group. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 85, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 85% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 25, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 75% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 11 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 23 (77% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 25, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 73 |
|
25 |
|
33 |
|
25 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | n/a |
|
80 |
|
58 |
|
85 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
65 |
|
21 |
|
11 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 83 |
|
57 |
|
19 |
|
23 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 94 |
|
69 |
|
21 |
|
25 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), the company Alithya Group has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Alithya Group is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Alithya Group. Refinancing is at 83, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 51, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 51% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 40, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 60% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 67 (better than 67% compared with alternatives), Alithya Group has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Alithya Group could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Alithya Group and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 15 |
|
44 |
|
44 |
|
40 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 83 |
|
87 |
|
5 |
|
83 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 20 |
|
31 |
|
49 |
|
51 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 18 |
|
73 |
|
18 |
|
67 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
15 |
|
32 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
37 |
|
14 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
68 |
|
46 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
26 |
|
20 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Alithya Group from November 14, 2024.
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