Fact based stock research
Alpargatas (BOVESPA:ALPA4)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Alpargatas stock research in summary

alpargatas.com.br

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 63 (better than 63% compared with investment alternatives), Alpargatas (Footwear, Brazil) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Alpargatas are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 31), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 63, is a buy recommendation based on Alpargatas's financial characteristics. As the company Alpargatas's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 97) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 31), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 97% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	97
Growth Rank	45
Safety Rank	31
Combined Rank	63

Country	Brazil
Industry	Footwear
Index	BOVESPA
Size class	Medium

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Alpargatas

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	8	71	83	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	52	59	4	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	70	29	48	31
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	54	14	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	47	16	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Alpargatas is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	8	71	83	97
GROWTH
GROWTH	52	59	4	45
SAFETY
SAFETY	70	29	48	31
COMBINED
COMBINED	39	48	30	63

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Alpargatas the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 97 (better than 97% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Alpargatas shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Alpargatas. Price-to-Sales is 95 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 95% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Alpargatas's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 87% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 91. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Alpargatas are expected to be higher than for 84% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 84). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 97, is a buy recommendation based on Alpargatas's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Alpargatas based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	15	49	85	95
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	23	73	76	87
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	14	59	90	91
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	40	68	1	84
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	8	71	83	97

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Alpargatas; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), Alpargatas shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Alpargatas. Profit Growth, with a rank of 88 (better than 88% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 95, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 23, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 77% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 9. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	28	30	29	23
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	96	4	88
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	97	15	95
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	72	9	3	9
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	52	59	4	45

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Alpargatas.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 31 (better than 31% compared with alternatives), the company Alpargatas has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Alpargatas is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Alpargatas and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 99, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 99% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 22, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 6, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 94% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 31 (worse than 69% compared with alternatives), Alpargatas has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Alpargatas are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Alpargatas and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	68	44	32	22
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	28	65	91	99
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	89	16	40	6
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	70	29	48	31

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Alpargatas and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	51	43	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	20	3	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	85	55	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	54	14	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Alpargatas.
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