Fact based stock research
Aluflexpack (SWX:AFP)
CH0453226893
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Aluflexpack stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Aluflexpack (Metal & Glass Containers, Switzerland) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aluflexpack are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 24 (worse than 76% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 18, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 82). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Aluflexpack's financial characteristics. As the company Aluflexpack shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 24 (76% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 82% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 82). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 18 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Aluflexpack, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Switzerland |
| Industry | Metal & Glass Containers |
| Index | SPI |
| Size class | Medium |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO, Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Aluflexpack
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 20 |
|
19 |
|
51 |
|
24 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 22 |
|
25 |
|
83 |
|
82 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 62 |
|
73 |
|
20 |
|
18 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
21 |
|
57 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 27 (worse than 73% compared with investment alternatives), Aluflexpack (Metal & Glass Containers, Switzerland) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aluflexpack are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 24 (worse than 76% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 18, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 82). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation based on Aluflexpack's financial characteristics. As the company Aluflexpack shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 24 (76% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 82% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 82). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 18 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Aluflexpack, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 20 |
|
19 |
|
51 |
|
24 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 22 |
|
25 |
|
83 |
|
82 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 62 |
|
73 |
|
20 |
|
18 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 35 |
|
31 |
|
66 |
|
27 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 24 (worse than 76% compared with alternatives), Aluflexpack shares are significantly more expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Aluflexpack. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 50, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 50% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Aluflexpack's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 54% of alternatives (46% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 99% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 36, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 24, is a sell recommendation based on Aluflexpack's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Aluflexpack may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 35 |
|
40 |
|
85 |
|
50 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 49 |
|
49 |
|
60 |
|
36 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 52 |
|
50 |
|
77 |
|
54 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 20 |
|
19 |
|
51 |
|
24 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Aluflexpack shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Aluflexpack. Sales Growth has a rank of 87 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 87% of its competitors. Capital Growth is also above 11% of competitors with a rank of 73, and Stock Returns with the rank of 94 is also an outperformance. Only Profit Growth is low with a rank of 11 which means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 89% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 82, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. All three operating growth indicators, namely revenue, profit, and capital growth, are showing improvements. This is a good indication of a company with a positive future. That might, at the same time, be the simple reason why profit growth is low. A growing company needs money and thus can't yet show high profit growth. Look out for signs in corporate communication about extra growth efforts costing time and money. If that is the case, Aluflexpack is a good growth stock. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 24 |
|
92 |
|
94 |
|
87 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 28 |
|
61 |
|
89 |
|
11 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
11 |
|
50 |
|
73 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 2 |
|
1 |
|
5 |
|
94 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 22 |
|
25 |
|
83 |
|
82 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 18 (better than 18% compared with alternatives), the company Aluflexpack has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Aluflexpack is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Aluflexpack and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 55, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 27, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 73% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 23, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 18 (worse than 82% compared with alternatives), Aluflexpack has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Aluflexpack are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Aluflexpack and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 64 |
|
96 |
|
51 |
|
27 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 44 |
|
43 |
|
28 |
|
55 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 70 |
|
41 |
|
20 |
|
23 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 62 |
|
73 |
|
20 |
|
18 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
13 |
|
54 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
52 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
70 |
|
89 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
46 |
|
60 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Aluflexpack from November 14, 2024.
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