Fact based stock research
Aozora Bank (TSE:8304)
JP3711200000
How to read the free ranks
For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Aozora Bank stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Aozora Bank (Diversified Banks, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aozora Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 38), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Aozora Bank's financial characteristics. As the company Aozora Bank's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 38), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
Latest Obermatt Ranks
Log in or sign up to see the new 360° View and Sentiment ranks.
360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Diversified Banks |
| Index | Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | XX-Large |
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.
Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Aozora Bank
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 69 |
|
55 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
|
67 |
|
41 |
|
43 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
8 |
|
24 |
|
38 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
7 |
|
6 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with investment alternatives), Aozora Bank (Diversified Banks, Japan) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aozora Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 43), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 38), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 30, is a hold recommendation based on Aozora Bank's financial characteristics. As the company Aozora Bank's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 49), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 43), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 38), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 69 |
|
55 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 39 |
|
67 |
|
41 |
|
43 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
8 |
|
24 |
|
38 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 80 |
|
32 |
|
16 |
|
30 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 49 (worse than 51% compared with alternatives), Aozora Bank shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Aozora Bank. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Aozora Bank's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 52% of alternatives (48% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 21 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 79% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 23, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 49, is a hold recommendation based on Aozora Bank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Aozora Bank may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 50 |
|
49 |
|
46 |
|
70 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 56 |
|
57 |
|
17 |
|
23 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 78 |
|
52 |
|
37 |
|
52 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 68 |
|
65 |
|
70 |
|
21 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 69 |
|
55 |
|
28 |
|
49 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 43 (better than 43% compared with alternatives), Aozora Bank shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Aozora Bank. Sales Growth has a rank of 87, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 87% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 98 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 1, and Stock Returns with 7 are also below-average. Stock returns for Aozora Bank have recently been below 93% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 43, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Aozora Bank. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 15 |
|
50 |
|
17 |
|
87 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 55 |
|
31 |
|
100 |
|
98 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
83 |
|
11 |
|
1 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 68 |
|
81 |
|
65 |
|
7 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 39 |
|
67 |
|
41 |
|
43 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 38 (better than 38% compared with alternatives), the company Aozora Bank has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Aozora Bank is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Aozora Bank and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 84 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 84% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 49, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 1, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 99% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 38 (worse than 62% compared with alternatives), Aozora Bank has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Aozora Bank are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Aozora Bank and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 64 |
|
37 |
|
62 |
|
84 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 36 |
|
50 |
|
39 |
|
49 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 89 |
|
1 |
|
15 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 71 |
|
8 |
|
24 |
|
38 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
28 |
|
5 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
23 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
33 |
|
4 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
20 |
|
7 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Aozora Bank from November 14, 2024.
Obermatt Portfolio Performance
We’re so convinced about our free research, that we buy our stock tips.
See the performance of the Obermatt portfolio.