Fact based stock research
Arrow Financial (NasdaqGS:AROW)
US0427441029
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Arrow Financial stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Arrow Financial (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Arrow Financial are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 34, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Arrow Financial's financial characteristics. As the company Arrow Financial shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (65% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 77% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 77). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 34 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Arrow Financial, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | XX-Large |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Arrow Financial
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
27 |
|
40 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
68 |
|
78 |
|
34 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
52 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
41 |
|
39 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 42 (worse than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Arrow Financial (Regional Banks, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Arrow Financial are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 34, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 77). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 42, is a hold recommendation based on Arrow Financial's financial characteristics. As the company Arrow Financial shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (65% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 77% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 77). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 34 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Arrow Financial, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 42 |
|
27 |
|
40 |
|
35 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 32 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 71 |
|
68 |
|
78 |
|
34 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 39 |
|
37 |
|
67 |
|
42 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), Arrow Financial shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below average for Arrow Financial. Only the metric dividend yield has an above-average rank, reflecting that dividend practices are expected to be higher than 71% of comparable companies, making the stock an attractive buy for dividend investors. However, dividend investors may get disappointed because all other critical financial indicators are below the market median: Price-to-Sales is 48 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than 52% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning Arrow Financial's sales levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) with a rank of 38 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profit levels is higher than 62% of comparable companies. In addition, Price-to-Book (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 23 is also low. Compared with invested capital, the stock price is higher than for 77% of comparable investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on Arrow Financial's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Should dividend investors pick Arrow Financial? The company-reported financials speak against it. The company is expensive compared with revenue and invested capital levels, two reliable company size indicators. In addition, it currently has a low level of profits. How can future dividends be paid in the case that profits remain low? Dividend investors should choose Arrow Financial only if they reasonably expect the low current profit levels to be transitory. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 33 |
|
37 |
|
44 |
|
48 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 57 |
|
50 |
|
51 |
|
38 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 27 |
|
20 |
|
22 |
|
23 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 67 |
|
59 |
|
58 |
|
71 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 42 |
|
27 |
|
40 |
|
35 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 77 (better than 77% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Arrow Financial shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Arrow Financial. Sales Growth has a rank of 83, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 83% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 90 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 41, and Stock Returns with 41 are also below-average. Stock returns for Arrow Financial have recently been below 59% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 77, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Arrow Financial. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 47 |
|
32 |
|
92 |
|
83 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 39 |
|
39 |
|
8 |
|
90 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
73 |
|
59 |
|
41 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 18 |
|
31 |
|
35 |
|
41 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 32 |
|
39 |
|
51 |
|
77 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 34 (better than 34% compared with alternatives), the company Arrow Financial has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Arrow Financial is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Arrow Financial and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 79 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 79% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 21, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 43, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 57% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 34 (worse than 66% compared with alternatives), Arrow Financial has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Arrow Financial are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Arrow Financial and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 76 |
|
74 |
|
85 |
|
79 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 43 |
|
43 |
|
26 |
|
21 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 71 |
|
63 |
|
69 |
|
43 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 71 |
|
68 |
|
78 |
|
34 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
1 |
|
34 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
88 |
|
16 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
48 |
|
35 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
52 |
|
14 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Arrow Financial from November 14, 2024.
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