Fact based stock research
Astra Agro Lestari (IDX:AALI)

ID1000066004

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
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Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

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Astra Agro Lestari stock research in summary

astra-agro.co.id

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 58 (better than 58% compared with investment alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari (Agricultural Products, Indonesia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Astra Agro Lestari are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 84, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 7). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 58, is a buy recommendation based on Astra Agro Lestari's financial characteristics. As the company Astra Agro Lestari's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 69) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 7) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 84), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 69% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	69
Growth Rank	7
Safety Rank	84
Combined Rank	58

Country	Indonesia
Industry	Agricultural Products
Index
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Astra Agro Lestari

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	95	87	65	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	60	61	7	7
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	77	81	84
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	19	37	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	75	37	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Astra Agro Lestari is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	95	87	65	69
GROWTH
GROWTH	60	61	7	7
SAFETY
SAFETY	87	77	81	84
COMBINED
COMBINED	100	95	53	58

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Astra Agro Lestari the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Astra Agro Lestari. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 71, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 71% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Astra Agro Lestari's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 67% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 49% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Astra Agro Lestari (a Dividend Yield Rank of 49). 51% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 69, is a buy recommendation based on Astra Agro Lestari's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	72	69	67	71
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	87	72	62	67
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	90	93	78	95
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	73	75	51	49
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	95	87	65	69

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Astra Agro Lestari; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Astra Agro Lestari. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 56, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 56% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 1, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 99% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 27 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 19 (81% of alternative investments were better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 7, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	67	19	14	1
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	18	92	25	56
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	87	29	27
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	18	11	37	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	60	61	7	7

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Astra Agro Lestari.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Astra Agro Lestari has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Astra Agro Lestari is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators where two out of three are above average for Astra Agro Lestari.Leverage is at 82, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 82% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 77, meaning that the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 77% of its competitors. Liquidity is at 44, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side regarding debt service. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 84 (better than 84% compared with alternatives), Astra Agro Lestari has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. Low leverage and low refinancing risk mean a safer financing situation. However, low liquidity means that current company cash flows are low in relation to the level of debt. This is a sign of caution in case it is expected for profits to remain low. Investors should compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before deciding. They may also want to investigate why cash flows are expected to be low, making debt service for Astra Agro Lestari more challenging. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	65	70	80	82
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	61	91	73	77
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	73	34	47	44
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	87	77	81	84

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Astra Agro Lestari and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	52	25	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	21	24	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	27	76	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	19	37	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Astra Agro Lestari.
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