Fact based stock research
Atlanticus Holdings (NasdaqGS:ATLC)
US04914Y1029
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Atlanticus Holdings stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Atlanticus Holdings (Consumer Finance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Atlanticus Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Atlanticus Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Atlanticus Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 15) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Consumer Finance |
Index | NASDAQ |
Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Atlanticus Holdings
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 30 |
|
37 |
|
56 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 94 |
|
100 |
|
37 |
|
65 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 30 |
|
49 |
|
30 |
|
15 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
37 |
|
78 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
71 |
|
49 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 71 (better than 71% compared with investment alternatives), Atlanticus Holdings (Consumer Finance, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Atlanticus Holdings are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 15), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 71, is a buy recommendation based on Atlanticus Holdings's financial characteristics. As the company Atlanticus Holdings's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 81) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 15) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 30 |
|
37 |
|
56 |
|
81 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 94 |
|
100 |
|
37 |
|
65 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 30 |
|
49 |
|
30 |
|
15 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 64 |
|
80 |
|
25 |
|
71 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 81 (better than 81% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Atlanticus Holdings shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Atlanticus Holdings. Price-to-Sales is 89 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 89% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Atlanticus Holdings's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 59% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 52. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Atlanticus Holdings are expected to be higher than for 87% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 87). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 81, is a buy recommendation based on Atlanticus Holdings's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Atlanticus Holdings based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 61 |
|
87 |
|
89 |
|
89 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 85 |
|
69 |
|
86 |
|
59 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 8 |
|
20 |
|
56 |
|
52 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
87 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 30 |
|
37 |
|
56 |
|
81 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Atlanticus Holdings shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Atlanticus Holdings. Sales Growth has a rank of 64 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 64% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 77. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 35, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 65% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 45, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 77% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 71 |
|
95 |
|
74 |
|
64 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 90 |
|
93 |
|
26 |
|
45 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
59 |
|
8 |
|
35 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 100 |
|
100 |
|
67 |
|
77 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 94 |
|
100 |
|
37 |
|
65 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 15 (better than 15% compared with alternatives), the company Atlanticus Holdings has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Atlanticus Holdings is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Atlanticus Holdings. Liquidity is at 21, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 79% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 29, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 71% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 37 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 63% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 15 (worse than 85% compared with alternatives), Atlanticus Holdings has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Atlanticus Holdings because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 18 |
|
26 |
|
28 |
|
29 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 42 |
|
33 |
|
45 |
|
37 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 38 |
|
61 |
|
34 |
|
21 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 30 |
|
49 |
|
30 |
|
15 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
78 |
|
87 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
11 |
|
51 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
32 |
|
37 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
37 |
|
78 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Atlanticus Holdings from December 19, 2024.
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