Fact based stock research
Aveanna Healthcare (NasdaqGS:AVAH)

US05356F1057

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Aveanna Healthcare stock research in summary

ir.aveanna.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 46 (worse than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Aveanna Healthcare (Health Care Services, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Aveanna Healthcare are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 93) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 4), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 46, is a hold recommendation based on Aveanna Healthcare's financial characteristics. As the company Aveanna Healthcare's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 53) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 93), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 4) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	53
Growth Rank	93
Safety Rank	4
Combined Rank	46

Country	USA
Industry	Health Care Services
Index	NASDAQ
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Aveanna Healthcare

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	86	82	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	65	61	93
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	6	1	4
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	7	1	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	17	11	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 29-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Aveanna Healthcare is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	n/a	86	82	53
GROWTH
GROWTH	n/a	65	61	93
SAFETY
SAFETY	n/a	6	1	4
COMBINED
COMBINED	n/a	50	40	46

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Aveanna Healthcare the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Aveanna Healthcare shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Aveanna Healthcare. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 70, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 70% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Aveanna Healthcare's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 92% of alternatives (8% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 99% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 3, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation based on Aveanna Healthcare's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Aveanna Healthcare may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	n/a	79	87	70
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	n/a	92	91	3
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	n/a	92	91	92
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	n/a	1	1	1
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	n/a	86	82	53

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Aveanna Healthcare; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 93 (better than 93% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Aveanna Healthcare shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Aveanna Healthcare. Profit Growth has a rank of 88 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 88% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 87, and Stock Returns has a rank of 99 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 99% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 32 (68% of its competitors are better). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 93, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	n/a	78	37	32
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	41	1	88
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	83	90	87
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	n/a	23	100	99
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	n/a	65	61	93

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Aveanna Healthcare.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), the company Aveanna Healthcare has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Aveanna Healthcare is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Aveanna Healthcare. Liquidity is at 20, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 80% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 4, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 12 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 88% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Aveanna Healthcare has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Aveanna Healthcare because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	n/a	10	8	4
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	n/a	49	6	12
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	n/a	22	20	20
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	n/a	6	1	4

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Aveanna Healthcare and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	69	3	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	31	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	17	23	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	2	3	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	7	1	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Aveanna Healthcare.
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