Fact based stock research
Avista (NYSE:AVA)
US05379B1070
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Avista stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Avista (Multi-Utilities, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Avista are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 16), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Avista's financial characteristics. As the company Avista's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 16) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Multi-Utilities |
Index | Dividends USA |
Size class | Large |
23-Jan-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Research History: Avista
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 48 |
|
63 |
|
84 |
|
90 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 33 |
|
51 |
|
37 |
|
16 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 8 |
|
16 |
|
66 |
|
37 |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
3 |
|
41 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with investment alternatives), Avista (Multi-Utilities, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Avista are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 16), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 37), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Avista's financial characteristics. As the company Avista's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 90) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 16) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 37), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 90% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 48 |
|
63 |
|
84 |
|
90 |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 33 |
|
51 |
|
37 |
|
16 |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 8 |
|
16 |
|
66 |
|
37 |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 18 |
|
22 |
|
84 |
|
41 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 90 (better than 90% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Avista shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Avista. Price-to-Sales is 79 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 79% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Avista's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 71% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 97. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Avista are expected to be higher than for 90% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 90). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 90, is a buy recommendation based on Avista's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Avista based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 40 |
|
64 |
|
69 |
|
79 |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 35 |
|
20 |
|
63 |
|
71 |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 58 |
|
81 |
|
97 |
|
97 |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 60 |
|
81 |
|
86 |
|
90 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 48 |
|
63 |
|
84 |
|
90 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 16 (better than 16% compared with alternatives), Avista shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four metrics below average for Avista. While Profit Growth has a good rank of 53, as professionals currently expect the company to grow its profits more than 53% of its competitors, all other growth indicators are below market averages. Sales Growth has a rank of 32, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 68% of its competitors, while Capital Growth has a rank of 22 and Stock Returns have been below market median, with a rank of 24 (76% of alternative investments were better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 16, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. While revenue growth and capital growth are good growth momentum indicators, profit is less reliable, because profits may increase due to cost-cutting measures which typically indicate negative growth momentum. "You can save a dollar only once" is the saying about such situations. Growth Investors should look at company priorities closely if they are interested in growth, because the increase in profits is not usually an indicator of growth, and stock prices have been below market, too. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is limited here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 23 |
|
69 |
|
14 |
|
32 |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 92 |
|
67 |
|
88 |
|
53 |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
33 |
|
49 |
|
22 |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 50 |
|
33 |
|
25 |
|
24 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 33 |
|
51 |
|
37 |
|
16 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 37 (better than 37% compared with alternatives), the company Avista has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Avista is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Avista and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 77 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 77% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 39, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 61% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 10, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 90% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 37 (worse than 63% compared with alternatives), Avista has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Avista are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Avista and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 14 |
|
72 |
|
78 |
|
77 |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 35 |
|
16 |
|
78 |
|
39 |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 19 |
|
14 |
|
8 |
|
10 |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 8 |
|
16 |
|
66 |
|
37 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
15 |
|
5 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
18 |
|
21 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
41 |
|
18 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
16 |
|
5 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Avista from January 23, 2025.
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