Fact based stock research
Ayala (PSE:AC)

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Ayala stock research in summary

ayala.com.ph

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Ayala (Industrial Conglomerates, Philippines) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Ayala are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 30), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Ayala's financial characteristics. As the company Ayala's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 75) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 55), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 30) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	75
Growth Rank	55
Safety Rank	30
Combined Rank	55

Country	Philippines
Industry	Industrial Conglomerates
Index	Energy Efficient, Independent Boards Growth Markets, Low Waste
Size class	X-Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Ayala

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	45	43	43	75
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	43	33	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	26	24	30
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	100	86	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	53	37	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Sep-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Ayala is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	45	43	43	75
GROWTH
GROWTH	34	43	33	55
SAFETY
SAFETY	33	26	24	30
COMBINED
COMBINED	26	18	12	55

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Ayala the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Ayala shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Ayala. Price-to-Sales is 61 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 61% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Ayala's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 88% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 79. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Ayala are expected to be higher than for 60% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 60). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 75, is a buy recommendation based on Ayala's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Ayala based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	12	39	46	61
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	60	55	76	88
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	46	62	64	79
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	38	42	39	60
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	45	43	43	75

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Ayala; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Ayala shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for Ayala. Profit Growth, with a rank of 82 (better than 82% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 76, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 30, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 70% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 17. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	40	73	37	30
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	45	79	82
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	35	7	76
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	48	33	33	17
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	34	43	33	55

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Ayala.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 30 (better than 30% compared with alternatives), the company Ayala has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Ayala is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Ayala and the other two below average. Refinancing is at 83, meaning the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 83% of its competitors. But Leverage is high with a rank of 24, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 76% of its competitors. Liquidity is also on the riskier side with a rank of 17, meaning the company generates less profit to service its debt than 83% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 30 (worse than 70% compared with alternatives), Ayala has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. A good Refinancing Rank means that the problems of the company may not be around the corner. But high Leverage is only good if things go well, and low Liquidity is a signal for caution. The financing signals for Ayala are on the riskier side, requiring the company's future to be on the safer side. Investors may want to look at Growth and Sentiment ranks before making an investment decision. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Ayala and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	22	24	24	24
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	69	80	84	83
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	41	10	12	17
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	33	26	24	30

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Ayala and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	88	87	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	69	83	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	75	40	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	77	61	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	100	86	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Ayala.
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