Fact based stock research
B&G Foods (NYSE:BGS)

US05508R1068

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

B&G Foods stock research in summary

bgfoods.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with investment alternatives), B&G Foods (Packaged Foods & Meats, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of B&G Foods are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% of alternatives), are safely financed (Safety Rank of 75, which means low debt burdens), but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation based on B&G Foods's financial characteristics. As the company B&G Foods's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 100) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) while being safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 75), it may be a safer investment because companies with low debt can better withstand times of crises. Yet the good value, better than 100% of comparable companies, may also indicate that the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity and the downside is limited due to below-average financing risks. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	100
Growth Rank	5
Safety Rank	75
Combined Rank	65

Country	USA
Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
Index	Dividends USA, S&P US Food & Beverage
Size class	Large

This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: B&G Foods

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	84	89	98	100
GROWTH
GROWTH	32	17	43	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	24	16	73	75
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	4	4	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	11	68	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 29-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better B&G Foods is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	84	89	98	100
GROWTH
GROWTH	32	17	43	5
SAFETY
SAFETY	24	16	73	75
COMBINED
COMBINED	43	28	92	65

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of B&G Foods the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 100 (better than 100% compared with alternatives) for 2024, B&G Foods shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for B&G Foods. Price-to-Sales is 91 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 91% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for B&G Foods's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 95% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 92. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of B&G Foods are expected to be higher than for 98% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 98). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 100, is a buy recommendation based on B&G Foods's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in B&G Foods based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	72	67	81	91
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	61	71	80	95
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	60	86	85	92
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	96	96	98	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	84	89	98	100

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of B&G Foods; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), B&G Foods shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for B&G Foods. Sales Growth has a rank of 8, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 92% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 16, and Capital Growth with 39. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 19, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 81% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	29	22	10	8
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	77	21	22	16
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	25	80	39
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	56	75	59	19
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	32	17	43	5

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of B&G Foods.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company B&G Foods has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of B&G Foods is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for B&G Foods. Refinancing is at 95, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 95% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 98, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 98% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 4, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 75 (better than 75% compared with alternatives), B&G Foods has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and B&G Foods could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with B&G Foods and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	12	4	1	4
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	86	87	96	95
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	24	6	100	98
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	24	16	73	75

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of B&G Foods and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	11	3	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	32	29	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	49	41	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	8	7	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	4	4	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for B&G Foods.
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