Fact based stock research
Bluescope Steel (ASX:BSL)

AU000000BSL0

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Bluescope Steel stock research in summary

bluescope.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with investment alternatives), Bluescope Steel (Steel, Australia) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Bluescope Steel are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives) and show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 27) but are safely financed (Safety Rank of 92), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation based on Bluescope Steel's financial characteristics. As the company Bluescope Steel's critical financial metrics exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41) and low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 27), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. In this case, good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 92) are a positive sign, because it may allow the company to weather challenging times until the hoped-for cash flows materialize. This may be true for high-tech or biotechnology companies with enough cash to sustain prolonged business development. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and unattractive today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value, as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts lie all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that account for a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	41
Growth Rank	27
Safety Rank	92
Combined Rank	55

Country	Australia
Industry	Steel
Index	ASX 100, ASX 200, ASX 300, Low Emissions, Human Rights
Size class	X-Large

19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Bluescope Steel

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	65	54	41
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	33	69	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	98	90	84	92
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	34	81	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	61	89	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 19-Dec-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Bluescope Steel is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	58	65	54	41
GROWTH
GROWTH	94	33	69	27
SAFETY
SAFETY	98	90	84	92
COMBINED
COMBINED	85	71	81	55

Last update of combined financial performance: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Bluescope Steel the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Bluescope Steel shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for Bluescope Steel. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 67, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 67% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Bluescope Steel's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio), which is more favorable than for 58% of alternatives (42% of peers have a higher ratio). But expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 45 are lower than average (dividends are expected to be lower than 55% of other stocks) while the Price to Profit ratio (or Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio) is higher than average with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 20, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Bluescope Steel's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Low profits and low dividends as seen here for Bluescope Steel may indicate a restructuring phase. This could be transitory, making the company a good value when profits recover and dividends return to higher levels. If the stock price is compared with the size indicators for revenue and invested capital, it is on the lower side, making this stock a good value investment (apart from current profit and dividend expectations). We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	63	65	66	67
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	57	97	51	20
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	60	59	76	58
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	52	37	31	45
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	58	65	54	41

Last update of Value Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Bluescope Steel; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 27 (better than 27% compared with alternatives), Bluescope Steel shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Bluescope Steel. While Sales Growth ranks at 71, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 71% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 11, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 89% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 25. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 39 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 61% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 27, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	95	8	32	71
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	67	51	36	11
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	63	91	25
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	56	49	71	39
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	94	33	69	27

Last update of Growth Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Bluescope Steel.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Bluescope Steel has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Bluescope Steel is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Bluescope Steel. Leverage is at 88, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 88% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 82, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 82% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 92 (better than 92% compared with alternatives), Bluescope Steel has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Bluescope Steel but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	80	74	82	88
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	66	53	53	53
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	81	73	82
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	98	90	84	92

Last update of Safety Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Bluescope Steel and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	43	37	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	25	94	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	56	67	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	48	64	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	34	81	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 19-Dec-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Bluescope Steel.
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