Fact based stock research
Brinker (NYSE:EAT)
US1096411004
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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Brinker stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Brinker (Restaurants, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Brinker are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 12), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Brinker's financial characteristics. As the company Brinker's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 12) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | USA |
Industry | Restaurants |
Index | Dividends USA |
Size class | X-Large |
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Research History: Brinker
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 93 |
|
99 |
|
86 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 72 |
|
5 |
|
61 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 7 |
|
12 |
|
16 |
|
n/a |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
58 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
27 |
|
59 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 54 (better than 54% compared with investment alternatives), Brinker (Restaurants, USA) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Brinker are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 65) but are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 12), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 54, is a buy recommendation based on Brinker's financial characteristics. As the company Brinker's key financial metrics exhibit excellent performance in two areas, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85) and above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 65), it could be argued that the risk-taking in financing (Obermatt Safety Rank of only 12) indicates that the company is optimistic about the future and sees debt as an opportunity to boost returns. More debt means more shareholder returns if everything goes well. However, higher debt burdens are risky when interest rates rise or the business deteriorates in a crisis. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 93 |
|
99 |
|
86 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 72 |
|
5 |
|
61 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 7 |
|
12 |
|
16 |
|
n/a |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 33 |
|
24 |
|
59 |
|
n/a |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2025, Brinker shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators above average for Brinker. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 88, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 88% of comparable companies, indicating a good value regarding Brinker's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price to Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 84% of alternatives, and it's also true for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 95. But, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields are expected to be lower than average; only 1% of all competitors have even lower dividend yields than Brinker (a Dividend Yield Rank of 1). 99% alternative investments in the same business provide a higher dividend yield. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on Brinker's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The below-average dividend yield may be a good sign, as it could mean the company has more attractive investment opportunities for the generated cash than to pay it out as dividends. A low dividend yield can also indicate a growth phase. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 80 |
|
93 |
|
85 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 93 |
|
97 |
|
90 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 100 |
|
81 |
|
97 |
|
n/a |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
72 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 93 |
|
99 |
|
86 |
|
n/a |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 65 (better than 65% compared with alternatives), Brinker shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Brinker. Profit Growth has a rank of 62 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its profits more than 62% of its competitors. The same is valid for capital growth and stock returns. Capital Growth has a rank of 55, and Stock Returns has a rank of 69 which means that the stock returns have recently been above 69% of alternative investments. Only revenue growth is low with a Sales Growth has a rank of 39 (61% of its competitors are better). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 65, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. The many positive growth indicators indicate a positive growth momentum with only low revenue growth. That can also be attributed to divestments or the sale of unprofitable businesses. If that is the reason, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 78 |
|
17 |
|
39 |
|
n/a |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 27 |
|
22 |
|
60 |
|
n/a |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
15 |
|
49 |
|
n/a |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 28 |
|
5 |
|
67 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 72 |
|
5 |
|
61 |
|
n/a |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 12 (better than 12% compared with alternatives), the company Brinker has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Brinker is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Brinker. Liquidity is at 44, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 56% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 18, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 82% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 18 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 82% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 12 (worse than 88% compared with alternatives), Brinker has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Brinker because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 6 |
|
12 |
|
20 |
|
n/a |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 6 |
|
10 |
|
16 |
|
n/a |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 33 |
|
78 |
|
50 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 7 |
|
12 |
|
16 |
|
n/a |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
35 |
|
3 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
54 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
72 |
|
78 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
42 |
|
71 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
56 |
|
58 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Brinker from January 9, 2025.
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