Fact based stock research
BTS Groupe (SET:BTS)
TH0221B10Z05
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
BTS Groupe stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), BTS Groupe (Railroads, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of BTS Groupe are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on BTS Groupe's financial characteristics. As the company BTS Groupe's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Thailand |
| Industry | Railroads |
| Index | SET |
| Size class | Medium |
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: BTS Groupe
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 57 |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 38 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
|
14 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
39 |
|
1 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with investment alternatives), BTS Groupe (Railroads, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of BTS Groupe are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 5), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 6), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 6, is a sell recommendation based on BTS Groupe's financial characteristics. As the company BTS Groupe's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 61) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 5) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 6), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 61% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 57 |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
61 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 38 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 14 |
|
14 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 23 |
|
12 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 61 (better than 61% compared with alternatives), BTS Groupe shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for BTS Groupe. Expected dividend yields are higher than for 55% of comparable companies (a Dividend Yield rank of 55), making the stock attractive. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 85, which means that the stock price is lower compared with invested capital than for 85% of comparable investments. But in respect to sales and profits, the picture is reversed. Price-to-Sales is 26 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is higher than for 74% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning BTS Groupe's sales levels. The Price-to-Profit ratio (also referred to as price-earnings (P/E) ratio) is also unfavorable for BTS Groupe with a rank of 1. This means that the stock price, compared with what market professionals expect for future profits, is higher than for 99% of comparable companies, indicating a low value concerning BTS Groupe's profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 61, is a buy recommendation based on BTS Groupe's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The company seems confident that it can generate a reasonable return on invested capital, because it pays an above-average dividend while profits are below what you would expect for a company with this stock price. If you agree with this practice and believe that profits will return to higher levels, as the current dividend policy suggests, BTS Groupe may be an attractive investment. If this is not the case, you may want to be careful with this stock as it is also expensive compared with its expected revenue levels. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is essential in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 31 |
|
22 |
|
21 |
|
26 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 59 |
|
36 |
|
15 |
|
1 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 40 |
|
78 |
|
83 |
|
85 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 84 |
|
84 |
|
82 |
|
55 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 57 |
|
79 |
|
79 |
|
61 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 5 (better than 5% compared with alternatives), BTS Groupe shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for BTS Groupe. While Sales Growth ranks at 51, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 51% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 33, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 67% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 7. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 21 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 79% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 5, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 17 |
|
24 |
|
1 |
|
51 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 11 |
|
4 |
|
12 |
|
33 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
1 |
|
59 |
|
7 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 46 |
|
23 |
|
11 |
|
21 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 38 |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
5 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 6 (better than 6% compared with alternatives), the company BTS Groupe has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of BTS Groupe is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for BTS Groupe. Liquidity is at 4, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 13, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 87% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 21 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 6 (worse than 94% compared with alternatives), BTS Groupe has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of BTS Groupe because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 12 |
|
24 |
|
18 |
|
13 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 52 |
|
11 |
|
7 |
|
21 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 25 |
|
27 |
|
12 |
|
4 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 14 |
|
14 |
|
8 |
|
6 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
69 |
|
55 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
50 |
|
50 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
82 |
|
18 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
27 |
|
15 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
70 |
|
12 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for BTS Groupe from December 19, 2024.
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