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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Century Aluminum

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021		2022		2023		2024
VALUE
VALUE	19		37		10		n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	31		41		80		n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	30		1		4		n/a
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a		1		10		new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a		5		12		new

Most recent update of the stock research: . Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: . Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Century Aluminum is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Century Aluminum (Aluminum, USA) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Century Aluminum are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% of alternatives), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 4, which means above-average debt burdens) but show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 55). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Century Aluminum's financial characteristics. As the company Century Aluminum shows low value with an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (71% of comparable investments are less expensive), investors should look at the other ranks. In this case, growth is expected to be above-average, better than 55% of comparable companies (Obermatt Growth Rank is 55). This is a typical case. Companies with above average growth tend to cost more than stocks with slower growth expectations. If this is a high-growth company, the low Obermatt Safety Rank of 4 is a good sign. The more debt a well-performing company has, the higher the returns to shareholders. However, if growth turns negative or interest rates increase, high debt may become a burden. If you believe the future is bright for Century Aluminum, even a low-value company (in terms of its key financial indicators) can be a good investment. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021		2022		2023		2024
VALUE
VALUE	19		37		10		n/a
GROWTH
GROWTH	31		41		80		n/a
SAFETY
SAFETY	30		1		4		n/a
COMBINED
COMBINED	12		10		14		n/a

Last update of combined financial performance: . Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Century Aluminum the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 29 (worse than 71% compared with alternatives), Century Aluminum shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half are above average for Century Aluminum. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 87, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 87% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Century Aluminum's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits (or Price / Earnings, P/E), more favorable than for 81% of alternatives. It is also positive for expected dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 1 (dividends are expected to be higher than for 1% of other stocks). But, compared with other companies in the same industry, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is higher than average, making the stock more expensive. Only 88% of all competitors have an even higher price compared with book capital which puts the Price-to-Capital Rank for Century Aluminum to 12. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 29, is a hold recommendation based on Century Aluminum's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. A low level of book capital means that the company has a business that is leaner on assets than its competitors. For instance, the company could be leasing its production facilities, or be more focussed on intellectual property, such as its brand and software, which is less visible in its book capital. If that is the case, the low Dividend Yield is also explained as such companies tend to invest their income into market development. The other good value ranks for Sales and Profits are encouraging indicators for the stock price value. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021		2022		2023		2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	91		77		89		n/a
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	4		89		1		n/a
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	18		10		5		n/a
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1		1		1		n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	19		37		10		n/a

Last update of Value Rank: . Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Century Aluminum; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 55 (better than 55% compared with alternatives), Century Aluminum shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Century Aluminum. Sales Growth has a rank of 52 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 52% of its competitors. Stock Returns are also above average with a rank of 77. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 42, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow its invested capital less than 58% of its competitors. Profit Growth is also low, with a rank of only 26, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits below average. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 55, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. This is a surprising picture, as the messages from the operating growth indicators of revenues, profits, and invested capital are mixed, while stock returns are above average. It may indicate new intellectual properties, such as brand improvement or a strong market position that shows in revenues but not in the capital. The low profit-growth rate may indicate an early phase where costs are still high, and revenues don't fully cover upfront investments or fixed costs. The positive investor outlook with a 77% peer outperformance is reaffirmed in this case which may be a good sign for an investment into a well-protected high-growth company. This fact needs to be confirmed by researching the company website and press. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021		2022		2023		2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	29		88		55		n/a
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	1		1		30		n/a
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a		33		82		n/a
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	68		65		81		n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	31		41		80		n/a

Last update of Growth Rank: . Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Century Aluminum.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 4 (better than 4% compared with alternatives), the company Century Aluminum has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Century Aluminum is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Century Aluminum. Liquidity is at 8, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 92% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 8, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 92% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 21 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 79% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 4 (worse than 96% compared with alternatives), Century Aluminum has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Century Aluminum because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021		2022		2023		2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	10		31		8		n/a
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	70		6		21		n/a
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	22		9		8		n/a
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	30		1		4		n/a

Last update of Safety Rank: . Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Century Aluminum and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021		2022		2023		2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a		81		19		new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a		9		50		new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a		11		12		new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a		2		21		new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a		1		10		new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: . Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Century Aluminum.
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Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Century Aluminum from January 9, 2025.

Obermatt Portfolio Performance
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