Fact based stock research
CH. Karnchang (SET:CK)
TH0530010Z06
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
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CH. Karnchang stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with investment alternatives), CH. Karnchang (Construction & Engineering, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of CH. Karnchang are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 7), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on CH. Karnchang's financial characteristics. As the company CH. Karnchang's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 7), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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Country | Thailand |
Industry | Construction & Engineering |
Index | R/E Growth Markets |
Size class | Large |
This stock has achievements: Gold Winner CEO.
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Research History: CH. Karnchang
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 22 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
10 |
|
n/a |
|
SENTIMENT | ||||||||
SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
65 |
|
new | |
360° VIEW | ||||||||
360° VIEW | n/a |
|
37 |
|
20 |
|
new |
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 9 (worse than 91% compared with investment alternatives), CH. Karnchang (Construction & Engineering, Thailand) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of CH. Karnchang are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% of alternatives), show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 45), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 7), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 9, is a sell recommendation based on CH. Karnchang's financial characteristics. As the company CH. Karnchang's key financial metrics all exhibit below-average performance, such as low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 35), low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 45), and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 7), it is a somewhat questionable stock investment, where the risk of paying too much for the shares is significant, unless the company has an exceptionally bright future. Such poor financial performance sometimes indicates that the company's business is all concentrated in some distant future. This is sometimes the case for high-tech or biotechnology companies. If they own properties that only provide cash flows in the future, the stock may look excessively expensive and risky today. In such cases, the Obermatt Method has limited value as it is based on facts we can observe today. If the facts are all in the future, stock investing becomes guesswork, and this should only be a driver in a limited number of investments that should only amount to a small fraction of a safe portfolio. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VALUE | ||||||||
VALUE | 22 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
GROWTH | ||||||||
GROWTH | 11 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
n/a |
|
SAFETY | ||||||||
SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
10 |
|
n/a |
|
COMBINED | ||||||||
COMBINED | 1 |
|
10 |
|
8 |
|
n/a |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 35 (worse than 65% compared with alternatives), CH. Karnchang shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half the indicators are below and half above average for CH. Karnchang. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 59, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 59% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning CH. Karnchang's revenue size. The same is valid for dividend yields with a Dividend Yield rank of 60, which means that dividends are expected to be higher than for 60% of comparable investments. On the other hand, the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than for 58% of alternatives (only 42% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for the Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E) ratio, which is higher than for 71% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 35, is a hold recommendation based on CH. Karnchang's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a somewhat surprising picture, because it means that profits are low while dividends are high. One interpretation could be that profits are expected to increase, justifying the high dividend payments. But it could also mean that the company desperately keeps the high dividends to avoid a collapsing share price. This would be a rather dangerous constellation. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 11 |
|
41 |
|
64 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 20 |
|
32 |
|
49 |
|
n/a |
|
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 50 |
|
59 |
|
54 |
|
n/a |
|
DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
DIVIDEND YIELD | 39 |
|
67 |
|
69 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 22 |
|
47 |
|
51 |
|
n/a |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 45 (better than 45% compared with alternatives), CH. Karnchang shows a below-average growth dynamic in its industry. There is limited momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where half of the indicators are below and half above average for CH. Karnchang. Profit Growth, with a rank of 81 (better than 81% of its competitors), and Capital Growth, with a rank of 66, are both positive, which is a healthy sign for positive development. But Sales Growth has only a rank of 29, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow less than 71% of its competitors, and Stock Returns are at a rank of 25. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 45, is a hold recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Stock returns that are a thing of the past can be less of a problem. Below-average revenue growth may be caused by divestments of underperforming businesses. If that is the case, then the positive developments of profit and capital growth are signs of a company with growth potential. If these are the reasons, overall growth is well on track to making this stock attractive for growth investors. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
REVENUE GROWTH | 2 |
|
100 |
|
19 |
|
n/a |
|
PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
PROFIT GROWTH | 32 |
|
39 |
|
77 |
|
n/a |
|
CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
14 |
|
33 |
|
n/a |
|
STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
STOCK RETURNS | 78 |
|
51 |
|
21 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 11 |
|
49 |
|
25 |
|
n/a |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 7 (better than 7% compared with alternatives), the company CH. Karnchang has much riskier financing practices than comparable other companies, which means that their overall debt burden is significantly above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of CH. Karnchang is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for CH. Karnchang. Liquidity is at 3, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 97% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 8, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 92% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 45 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 7 (worse than 93% compared with alternatives), CH. Karnchang has a financing structure that is significantly riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of CH. Karnchang because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more
SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LEVERAGE | ||||||||
LEVERAGE | 24 |
|
10 |
|
14 |
|
n/a |
|
REFINANCING | ||||||||
REFINANCING | 24 |
|
42 |
|
52 |
|
n/a |
|
LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
LIQUIDITY | 5 |
|
6 |
|
1 |
|
n/a |
|
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 5 |
|
8 |
|
10 |
|
n/a |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
80 |
|
80 |
|
new | |
OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
39 |
|
50 |
|
new | |
PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
79 |
|
14 |
|
new | |
MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
39 |
|
97 |
|
new | |
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
83 |
|
65 |
|
new |
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for CH. Karnchang from January 9, 2025.
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