Fact based stock research
Change (TSE:3962)

JP3507750002

How to read the free ranks

For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Change stock research in summary

change-jp.com

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 98 (better than 98% compared with investment alternatives), Change (IT Consulting & oth. Services, Japan) shares have much better financial characteristics than comparable stocks. Shares of Change are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% of alternatives), show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 85), and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 69), which means low debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 98, is a strong buy recommendation based on Change's financial characteristics. As the company Change's key financial metrics all exhibit excellent performance, such as good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 85), above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 85), and indicate that the company is safely financed (Obermatt Safety Rank of 69), it is a solid stock investment where the risk of paying too much for the share is limited, unless the company has a bleak future. Such good financial performance can indicate that the company's future might actually be challenging, as it may be difficult to maintain the good performance. If they are safely financed and have been growing above average, and are still a good value, it means that the market is keeping prices low, for a reason which may become clearer over time. We recommend evaluating the future of Change. If you believe the company's future is market-typical or even better, this could be an argument for a share purchase. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	85
Growth Rank	85
Safety Rank	69
Combined Rank	98

Country	Japan
Industry	IT Consulting & oth. Services
Index
Size class	X-Small

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

Why popular stocks have low ratings

It’s easier said than done. When your stock drops, it’s easy to want to sell it and find a better performer. Think twice, or even three times, before trading. Those fees (especially the hidden ones) can eat up your gains.

Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Change

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	31	69	74	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	18	67	63	85
SAFETY
SAFETY	93	85	85	69
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	94	51	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	100	89	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Change is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	31	69	74	85
GROWTH
GROWTH	18	67	63	85
SAFETY
SAFETY	93	85	85	69
COMBINED
COMBINED	98	96	100	98

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Change the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Change shares are significantly less expensive than comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators that are all above average for Change. Price-to-Sales is 62 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 62% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Change's revenue size. The same is valid for expected Price-to-Profits, more favorable than for 83% of alternatives, and this is also true for the Price-to-Book capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 66. Compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Change are expected to be higher than for 75% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 75). ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation based on Change's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since all value metrics are above the industry average, there is no objection to investing in Change based on its detailed value metrics. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	24	44	46	62
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	72	59	93	83
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	42	62	60	66
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	1	59	65	75
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	31	69	74	85

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Change; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 85 (better than 85% compared with alternatives) for 2024, Change shows one of the highest growth dynamics in its industry. Investors also speak of high momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all but one indicator above average for Change. Sales Growth has a value of 99 which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow more than 99% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a value of 61 and Capital Growth with a rank of 89 means that currently, professionals expect the company to grow both profits and invested capital more than of its competitors. But Stock Returns has only a rank of 27, which means that stock returns have recently been below 73% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 85, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Change has only one below-average growth indicator, the stock returns. This is probably the least reliable growth indicator, because it measures company and investor expectations at the same time. The three other growth indicators, which are all positive for Change, are more reliable measures of growth momentum. For this reason, the company seems to be on a good trajectory, unless you think the current period is not representative, because of unique events that will not be repeated in the future. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	47	86	95	99
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	n/a	69	83	61
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	55	99	89
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	4	23	7	27
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	18	67	63	85

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Change.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), the company Change has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Change is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with two out of three indicators above-average for Change. Refinancing is at 87, meaning the portion of the debt that is about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 87% of its competitors. Liquidity is also good at 77, meaning the company generates more profit to service its debt than 77% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is safer when it comes to debt service. However, Leverage is rather large at 23, which means the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 77% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 69 (better than 69% compared with alternatives), Change has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is not bad if things go well. The higher debt level means better returns to shareholders if things go well. Many top-performing companies operate with higher debt levels, and Change could be in that group. But if you expect the environment to turn rougher, the higher leverage could become a problem. The same is valid if you expect interest rates to rise. That could squeeze shareholder returns, which so far have benefitted from better conditions. In the long-term, investors may have a debt challenge with Change and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	94	57	56	23
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	58	83	73	87
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	100	67	77	77
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	93	85	85	69

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Change and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	85	84	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	92	59	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	46	27	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	94	51	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Change.
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