Fact based stock research
Cheng Loong (TSEC:1904)

TW0001904001

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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".

Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".

Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.

Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.

(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).

(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.

Cheng Loong stock research in summary

clc.com.tw

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 14 (worse than 86% compared with investment alternatives), Cheng Loong (Paper Packaging, Taiwan) shares have lower financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Cheng Loong are a good value (attractively priced) with a consolidated Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% of alternatives) but show below-average growth (Growth Rank of 17), and are riskily financed (Safety Rank of 26), which means above-average debt burdens. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 14, is a sell recommendation based on Cheng Loong's financial characteristics. As the company Cheng Loong's key financial metrics exhibit good value (Obermatt Value Rank of 51) but low growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 17) and risky financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 26), it may be a risky investment, because debt in times of crises can make things worse. The good value, better than 51% of comparable companies, may indicate the company's future is challenging. If you believe that low growth is temporary or just due to a specific current event, you may conclude that the good value of the stock provides an attractive investment opportunity. Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more

Latest Obermatt Ranks


360° View^new
Sentiment Rank^new
Value Rank	51
Growth Rank	17
Safety Rank	26
Combined Rank	14

Country	Taiwan
Industry	Paper Packaging
Index	FTSE Taiwan
Size class	Large

14-Nov-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.

Further information

Multiple opinions. One number.

Analysts rarely agree on a stock’s future. So, who do you believe? Obermatt translates those collective views into a single Sentiment Rank. That plus the financial ranks give you the ultimate 360° View. Sign up to access them.

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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.

Research History: Cheng Loong

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	89	81	42	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	29	23	17
SAFETY
SAFETY	56	42	20	26
SENTIMENT
SENTIMENT	n/a	63	12	^new
360° VIEW
360° VIEW	n/a	67	4	^new

Most recent update of the stock research: 14-Nov-2024. Financial reporting date used for calculating ranks: 30-Jun-2024. Stock research history is based on the Obermatt Method. The higher the rank, the better Cheng Loong is in the corresponding investment strategy.
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Combined financial peformance in Detail

RESEARCH HISTORY	2021	2022	2023	2024
VALUE
VALUE	89	81	42	51
GROWTH
GROWTH	37	29	23	17
SAFETY
SAFETY	56	42	20	26
COMBINED
COMBINED	65	60	8	14

Last update of combined financial performance: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on combined financial performance: The higher the rank of Cheng Loong the better the performance.

Value Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Cheng Loong shares are more attractively priced than the majority of comparable stocks. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where three out of four indicators are above average for Cheng Loong. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 56 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than for 56% of comparable companies, indicating a good value for Cheng Loong's revenue size. The same is valid for the Price-to-Book Capital ratio (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Capital Rank of 60. Finally, compared with other companies in the same industry, dividend yields of Cheng Loong are expected to be higher than for 51% of all competitors (a Dividend Yield rank of 51). The only low rank is for expected profits with a Price-to-Profit Rank of 22, indicating that the market expects the company's profit to be low despite a high dividend. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 51, is a buy recommendation based on Cheng Loong's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. The low Profit Rank could result from a one-off charge, for instance, for an accident, a legal settlement, or a restructuring project. If the company keeps its dividends high, the low expected profit may be transitory. If that is the case, the three good value ranks for Sales, Capital, and Dividends are reliable indicators for good stock price value, a low stock price. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision. ...read more

VALUE METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)
PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S)	74	58	49	56
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)
PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E)	83	65	12	22
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)
PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book)	71	52	50	60
DIVIDEND YIELD
DIVIDEND YIELD	96	93	79	51
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE
CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE	89	81	42	51

Last update of Value Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on value ratios: The higher the rank, the lower the value ratio of Cheng Loong; except for dividend yield where the rank is higher, the higher the yield.

Growth Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 17 (better than 17% compared with alternatives), Cheng Loong shows one of the most restricted growth dynamics in its industry. There is little momentum in this company. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with all four metrics below average for Cheng Loong. Sales Growth has a rank of 49, which means that currently professionals expect the company to grow less than 51% of its competitors. The same is valid for Profit Growth, with a rank of 36, and Capital Growth with 45. In addition, Stock Returns have a below market rank of 29, which means that the stock returns have recently been below 71% of alternative investments. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 17, is a sell recommendation for growth and momentum investors. These are all bad growth momentum indicators. These are negative signals for investors interested in growth companies. Value is likely good for this company, as investors may have left this stock in the cold. If that is the case, investors should look at the company's outlook, especially Sentiment performance, because it may be a turnaround situation that could entail above-average stock returns in the future. But it remains a risky bet, as no growth signals are in the green zone yet. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is low here. ...read more

GROWTH METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
REVENUE GROWTH
REVENUE GROWTH	28	13	34	49
PROFIT GROWTH
PROFIT GROWTH	85	27	14	36
CAPITAL GROWTH
CAPITAL GROWTH	n/a	77	61	45
STOCK RETURNS
STOCK RETURNS	47	51	53	29
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH
CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH	37	29	23	17

Last update of Growth Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on growth metrics: The higher the rank, the higher the growth and returns of Cheng Loong.

Safety Metrics in Detail

ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 26 (better than 26% compared with alternatives), the company Cheng Loong has financing practices on the riskier side, which means that their overall debt burden is above the industry average. This doesn't mean that the business of Cheng Loong is also risky, it only means that the company is on the riskier side in respect to bankruptcy in case things turn sour, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with all three metrics below average for Cheng Loong. Liquidity is at 32, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 68% of its competitors. This indicates that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. Even worse, Leverage is at a rank of 22, meaning the company has an above-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has more debt than 78% of its competitors. Finally, Refinancing is at a rank of 45 which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 55% of its competitors. ...read more

RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 26 (worse than 74% compared with alternatives), Cheng Loong has a financing structure that is riskier than that of its competitors. This combination is rather dangerous in most situations. Only very promising companies with bright future outlooks and stellar reputations can operate with such risky financing. Investors should look at Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks to confirm a very positive outlook or be careful with investing in stocks of Cheng Loong because it may suffer significantly in case of future difficulties. ...read more

SAFETY METRICS	2021	2022	2023	2024
LEVERAGE
LEVERAGE	20	34	20	22
REFINANCING
REFINANCING	73	43	47	45
LIQUIDITY
LIQUIDITY	51	37	23	32
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY	56	42	20	26

Last update of Safety Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on safety metrics: The higher the rank, the lower the leverage of Cheng Loong and the more cash is available to service its debt.

Sentiment Metrics in Detail

SENTIMENT	2021	2022	2023	2024
ANALYST OPINIONS
ANALYST OPINIONS	n/a	52	7	^new
OPINIONS CHANGE
OPINIONS CHANGE	n/a	50	50	^new
PRO HOLDINGS
PRO HOLDINGS	n/a	100	30	^new
MARKET PULSE
MARKET PULSE	n/a	16	13	^new
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT
CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT	n/a	63	12	^new

Last update of Sentiment Rank: 14-Nov-2024. Stock analysis on sentiment metrics: The higher the rank, the more positive the sentiment for Cheng Loong.
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