Fact based stock research
Chiba Bank (TSE:8331)
JP3511800009
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Chiba Bank stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Chiba Bank (Regional Banks, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Chiba Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 39 (worse than 61% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation based on Chiba Bank's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Chiba Bank exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 39), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | Japan |
| Industry | Regional Banks |
| Index | Nikkei 225 |
| Size class | Medium |
This stock has achievements: Top 10 Stock.
19-Dec-2024. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Chiba Bank
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
|
39 |
|
24 |
|
39 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
72 |
|
45 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
39 |
|
8 |
|
82 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | n/a |
|
67 |
|
16 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 68 (better than 68% compared with investment alternatives), Chiba Bank (Regional Banks, Japan) shares have above-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Chiba Bank are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 39 (worse than 61% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 53) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 82, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 68, is a buy recommendation based on Chiba Bank's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Chiba Bank exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 39), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 53). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 82) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 55 |
|
39 |
|
24 |
|
39 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 28 |
|
72 |
|
45 |
|
53 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 100 |
|
39 |
|
8 |
|
82 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 70 |
|
51 |
|
10 |
|
68 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 39 (worse than 61% compared with alternatives), Chiba Bank shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Chiba Bank. Price-to-Profit (also referred to as price-earnings, P/E) is 52 which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future profits is lower than for 52% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning Chiba Bank's profit levels. The same is valid for Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) with a Price-to-Book Rank of 58, which means that the stock price is lower as regards to invested capital than for 58% of comparable investments. On the other hand, Price-to-Sales is less favorable than for 57% of alternatives (only 43% of peers have an even less favorable ratio). The same is valid for dividend yield, which is lower than for 77% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected dividend payouts. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 39, is a hold recommendation based on Chiba Bank's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. This is a puzzling picture, because it means that profits are high while dividends are low. Since the stock price is low compared with invested capital but high concerning expected revenues, the company has more invested capital than peers for generating the same amount of revenue. Since profits are higher, it could be a "cash cow" situation (using the classic Boston Consulting Group or BCG matrix naming convention) where the company is on a downward trend, still living from the profits of past products. As the company pays low dividends, it may harbor the opinion that a turnaround is possible, and it rather invests the cash than distribute it to shareholders through dividends, thus sealing the company's fate early. Any investment optimism should only be a buy trigger once thorough research is completed. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 64 |
|
49 |
|
39 |
|
43 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 28 |
|
57 |
|
42 |
|
52 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 78 |
|
62 |
|
46 |
|
58 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 36 |
|
19 |
|
21 |
|
23 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 55 |
|
39 |
|
24 |
|
39 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 53 (better than 53% compared with alternatives), Chiba Bank shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with three out of four indicators below-average for Chiba Bank. While Sales Growth ranks at 70, professionals currently expect the company to grow more than 70% of its competitors, while all other growth ranks are below the market median. Profit Growth has a rank of 47, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow its profits less than 53% of its competitors, and Capital Growth has a low rank of 45. Historic stock returns were also below average with a current Stock Returns rank of 35 which means that the stock returns have recently been below 65% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 53, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. If revenues are expected to increase, but all other growth indicators are negative, the company may be investing in future growth through means not visible in the balance sheet and thus not reflected in capital growth. The fact that Stock Returns have been below market doesn't mean that much, as it may be due to overly optimistic investor behavior in the past, which has been corrected to a more reasonable level recently. If that were the case, a positive Value Rank would be a reason to invest because the company is still expected to grow, while stock prices are now at a more reasonable level. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance isn't stellar here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 22 |
|
95 |
|
72 |
|
70 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 60 |
|
31 |
|
34 |
|
47 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | n/a |
|
61 |
|
45 |
|
45 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 64 |
|
59 |
|
47 |
|
35 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 28 |
|
72 |
|
45 |
|
53 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives) for 2024, the company Chiba Bank has safe financing practices, which means that their overall debt burden is low. This doesn't mean that the business of Chiba Bank is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, where all three are above average for Chiba Bank. Leverage is at 76, meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 76% of its competitors. Refinancing is at a rank of 53, meaning that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is below average. It has less debt in the refinancing stage than 53% of its competitors. Finally, Liquidity is also good at a rank of 75, which means that the company generates more profit to service its debt than 75% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 82 (better than 82% compared with alternatives), Chiba Bank has a financing structure that is significantly safer than that of its competitors. These three positive financing indicators signal that the company is less likely to default on its debt obligations. However, it also means that its shareholder returns will be more modest if things go well. A low safety means fewer troubles in downtimes and less upside in good times. Investors may not have a debt issue with Chiba Bank but they should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 98 |
|
71 |
|
76 |
|
76 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 88 |
|
18 |
|
9 |
|
53 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 91 |
|
73 |
|
12 |
|
75 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 100 |
|
39 |
|
8 |
|
82 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
65 |
|
75 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | n/a |
|
87 |
|
11 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | n/a |
|
16 |
|
24 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | n/a |
|
78 |
|
77 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | n/a |
|
77 |
|
48 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Chiba Bank from December 19, 2024.
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