Fact based stock research
Citi Trends (NasdaqGS:CTRN)
US17306X1028
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For every stock, we judge its performance against its peers and rank it on a scale of 1 to 100. The higher the rank, the better the stock performs than its peers. And, we do this for six investment strategies:
Value - shows how good of a value the stock is. Green is "inexpensive"; red is "expensive".
Growth - shows a company's growth potential. Green is "high growth" expected; red is "tough times ahead".
Safety - relates to the amount of debt a company has. Green is low debt level; red is high debt level.
Combined Financial - this isn't an average of the first three ranks but rather a consolidated view across several financial indicators. Green = good; red = tread carefully.
(NEW) Sentiment - quantifies professional analyst ratings and holdings as well as market pulse. Green = positive sentiment; red = skepticism (Only available to Premium Subscribers).
(NEW) 360° View - the ultimate rating with all financial and non-financial indicators.
Citi Trends stock research in summary
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Citi Trends (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Citi Trends are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Citi Trends's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Citi Trends exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
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360° Viewnew| Country | USA |
| Industry | Apparel Retail |
| Index | Sound Pay USA, NASDAQ |
| Size class | Medium |
27-Mar-2025. Stock data may be delayed. Log in or sign up to get the most recent research.
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Review the performance ranks of the individual metrics that form each investment strategy.
Research History: Citi Trends
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 47 |
|
45 |
|
37 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
23 |
|
49 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 84 |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
51 |
|
| SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| SENTIMENT | 97 |
|
8 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
| 360° VIEW | ||||||||
| 360° VIEW | 100 |
|
24 |
|
33 |
|
new |
|
Combined financial peformance in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Combined Rank of 48 (worse than 52% compared with investment alternatives), Citi Trends (Apparel Retail, USA) shares have somewhat below-average financial characteristics compared with similar stocks. Shares of Citi Trends are low in value (priced high) with a consolidated Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% of alternatives). But they show above-average growth (Growth Rank of 57) and are safely financed (Safety Rank of 51, which means below-average debt burdens). ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: A Combined Rank of 48, is a hold recommendation based on Citi Trends's financial characteristics. Investors looking for growth and low financial risk may find this stock attractive. While the company Citi Trends exhibits low value (Obermatt Value Rank of 41), which means that the stock price is rather high, it also demonstrates above-average growth (Obermatt Growth Rank of 57). This is a typical case, as high-growth companies are often expensive. Good financing practices (Obermatt Safety Rank of 51) are a double-edged sword: if the company continues growing, low debt limits shareholder returns. But if the company increases its debt, it will also increase risk. In other words, this is an investment on the safer side, despite the above-average price (low value). Obermatt Premium subscribers can further check the stock’s Sentiment Ranks, which also flow into the Obermatt 360° View for investors. ...read more
| RESEARCH HISTORY | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VALUE | ||||||||
| VALUE | 47 |
|
45 |
|
37 |
|
41 |
|
| GROWTH | ||||||||
| GROWTH | 77 |
|
23 |
|
49 |
|
57 |
|
| SAFETY | ||||||||
| SAFETY | 84 |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
51 |
|
| COMBINED | ||||||||
| COMBINED | 84 |
|
52 |
|
28 |
|
48 |
|
Value Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Value Rank of 41 (worse than 59% compared with alternatives), Citi Trends shares are more expensive than the average comparable stock. The Value Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, where the majority of metrics are below, and only one is above average for Citi Trends. Price-to-Sales (P/S) is 75, which means that the stock price compared with what market professionals expect for future sales is lower than 75% of comparable companies, indicating a good value concerning to Citi Trends's revenue size. But all other performance indicators point in a different direction. Dividend yields have a Dividend Yield rank of 1, meaning that dividends are expected to be lower than for 99% of comparable investments. Furthermore, Price-to-Book Capital (also referred to as market-to-book ratio) is less favorable than 52% of alternatives (only 48% of peers have an even higher ratio). The same is valid for Price-to-Profit (or Price / Earnings, P/E), which is higher than for 92% of comparable companies, making the stock more expensive compared with the company's expected profit levels. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Value Rank of 41, is a hold recommendation based on Citi Trends's stock price compared with the company's operational size and dividend yields. Since Price-to-Sales is a stable value indicator even in challenging times, investing in Citi Trends could be seen as a value investment. However, there must be a good reason for the low market-to-book rank. If the company has a typical capital investment practice, the stock may be overvalued because the profit and dividend-related performance indicators are also low. The stock is only good value if investors can expect profits and dividends to pick up in the future. Else, Citi Trends looks like an expensive investment today. We recommend further analyzing the stock with Obermatt’s Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks, including the 360° View, before making an investment decision, which is especially important in this case, as the financial indicators are inconclusive. ...read more
| VALUE METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. REVENUES (P/S) | 68 |
|
73 |
|
64 |
|
75 |
|
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. PROFITS (P/E) | 75 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
8 |
|
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | ||||||||
| PRICE VS. CAPITAL (Market-to-Book) | 44 |
|
64 |
|
50 |
|
48 |
|
| DIVIDEND YIELD | ||||||||
| DIVIDEND YIELD | 1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
1 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: VALUE | 47 |
|
45 |
|
37 |
|
41 |
|
Growth Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Growth Rank of 57 (better than 57% compared with alternatives), Citi Trends shows an above-average growth dynamic in its industry. Investors also speak of positive momentum. The Growth Rank is based on consolidating four value indicators, with half of the indicators below and half above average for Citi Trends. Sales Growth has a rank of 75, which means that, currently, professionals expect the company to grow more than 75% of its competitors. Profit Growth with a rank of 88 is also above average. But Capital Growth has only a rank of 6, and Stock Returns with 47 are also below-average. Stock returns for Citi Trends have recently been below 53% of alternative investments. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: The overall picture with a consolidated Growth Rank of 57, is a buy recommendation for growth and momentum investors. Are investors forecasting troubles based on the lack of operating investment activity at the company? This could be one explanation as to why stock returns are low. But stock returns can also be the result of correcting an error in the past, in this case, an overly optimistic outlook on the future, which is now more realistic. The Value Ranks may confirm such a picture. The more important growth indicators are revenues and profits, which are both above average for Citi Trends. This is a positive sign from the company's operational side and may give investors courage, despite the poor recent stock price performance. While momentum is a popular investment factor, the value aspect might be the more important one, in the longer term. We recommend analyzing the stock with the Obermatt Value, Safety, and Sentiment Ranks to arrive at a 360° View of the stock purchase case, especially since the growth performance is mixed here. ...read more
| GROWTH METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| REVENUE GROWTH | ||||||||
| REVENUE GROWTH | 51 |
|
35 |
|
58 |
|
75 |
|
| PROFIT GROWTH | ||||||||
| PROFIT GROWTH | 65 |
|
6 |
|
4 |
|
88 |
|
| CAPITAL GROWTH | ||||||||
| CAPITAL GROWTH | 98 |
|
75 |
|
100 |
|
6 |
|
| STOCK RETURNS | ||||||||
| STOCK RETURNS | 31 |
|
31 |
|
49 |
|
47 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: GROWTH | 77 |
|
23 |
|
49 |
|
57 |
|
Safety Metrics in Detail
ANALYSIS: With an Obermatt Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), the company Citi Trends has financing practices on the safer side, which mean that their overall debt burden is lower than average. This doesn't mean that the business of Citi Trends is safe, it only means that the company is on the safer side regarding possible bankruptcy, assuming that public reporting is correct. The Safety Rank is based on consolidating three financing indicators, with just one indicator above average for Citi Trends and the other two below average. Leverage is at a rank of 93 meaning the company has a below-average debt-to-equity ratio. It has less debt than 93% of its competitors.Refinancing is at a rank of 49, which means that the portion of the debt about to be refinanced is above-average. It has more debt in the refinancing stage than 51% of its competitors. Liquidity is at a rank of 4, meaning that the company generates less profit to service its debt than 96% of its competitors. ...read more
RECOMMENDATION: With a consolidated Safety Rank of 51 (better than 51% compared with alternatives), Citi Trends has a financing structure that is safer than that of its competitors. This is an indication that the company is on the riskier side when it comes to debt service. There is only below-market average liquidity, and a short-term refinancing issue might be around the corner. But in the long-term, the debt levels of Citi Trends are on the safer side. Investors may have a short-term debt challenge and liquidity issues with Citi Trends and should also compare Obermatt’s Value, Growth, and Sentiment Ranks before making a decision. ...read more
| SAFETY METRICS | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEVERAGE | ||||||||
| LEVERAGE | 100 |
|
100 |
|
100 |
|
93 |
|
| REFINANCING | ||||||||
| REFINANCING | 18 |
|
68 |
|
48 |
|
49 |
|
| LIQUIDITY | ||||||||
| LIQUIDITY | 93 |
|
79 |
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SAFETY | 84 |
|
91 |
|
48 |
|
51 |
|
Sentiment Metrics in Detail
| SENTIMENT | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANALYST OPINIONS | ||||||||
| ANALYST OPINIONS | n/a |
|
67 |
|
87 |
|
new |
|
| OPINIONS CHANGE | ||||||||
| OPINIONS CHANGE | 96 |
|
1 |
|
86 |
|
new |
|
| PRO HOLDINGS | ||||||||
| PRO HOLDINGS | 81 |
|
1 |
|
29 |
|
new |
|
| MARKET PULSE | ||||||||
| MARKET PULSE | 52 |
|
23 |
|
26 |
|
new |
|
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | ||||||||
| CONSOLIDATED RANK: SENTIMENT | 97 |
|
8 |
|
53 |
|
new |
|
Free stock analysis by the purely fact based Obermatt Method for Citi Trends from March 27, 2025.
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